2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
2 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
6 WIECHMANN Colin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
7 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
8 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
9 WU Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
10 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
11 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
12 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
13 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
14 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
15 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
16 NGUYEN Damien 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
17 KNOX James 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
18 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
19 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
20 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
21 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
22 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
23 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
24 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
25 SONG Troy 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
26 KIM Byung 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
27 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
28 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
29 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
30 MAHESH Tarun 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
31 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 2%
32 VODOVOZOV Denis 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
33 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
34 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
35 GONG Haixiang 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
36 ZHANG William 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
37 DACKO Alexander V. 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
38 SERAFIN Ben 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
39 STABB Xuan 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
40 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
41 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
42 WANG Max S 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
43 PAN Tristan 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
44 PANDALAI Aryan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
45 ZHAO Jordan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
46 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
47 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
48 HU Robert J. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
48 XIE Brandon 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
50 SARIDAKIS Ioannis Thanos 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
51 ZHANG Ethan 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
52 REDDY Arya 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
53 ZOU Xianyang 100% 38% 6% - - -
54 HU Anton 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
55 ZIAEE Armin 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.