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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Boston Fencing Club RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 3, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
3 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
3 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
5 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
7 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
9 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
10 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
11 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
12 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 9%
13 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
14 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
15 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
16 YU Hunter 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 9% 1%
17 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 9%
18 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
19 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
20 TEH Steven 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
21 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
22 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
23 ZHANG William 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11% 1%
23 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 5%
25 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 19% 2%
26 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
27 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
28 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
29 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
30 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 13% 1%
31 KIM Byung 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
32 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 2%
33 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
34 WEI Michael 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
35 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
36 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
37 HU Anton 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
38 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
39 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
40 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
41 QUINLAN Sean 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
42 FENG Du 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
43 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
44 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
45 SONG Troy 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
46 HONG James 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
47 JIANG Ryan 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
48 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
49 LI Zachary 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
50 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
51 ZOU Xianyang 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
52 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
53 COUSINS Cameron 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
53 GOODWIN Graham 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9% 1%
55 ZHAO Zidong 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
56 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 99% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
57 LIN Zizhen 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
58 TORRES Gianni 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
59 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
60 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
61 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
62 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
63 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
64 DUSSEAU Maddax 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
65 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
66 BENTAHA Averroes 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
67 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
68 MASSE Jack 100% 69% 16% 1% - - -
69 NORTON Theo B. 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2% -
70 KIM Dylan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
71 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 35% 5% - - -
72 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 51% 7% - - - -
72 STEIN Philip 100% 76% 26% 4% - - -
74 THOMPSON Ian 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.