Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 29, 2017 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GONZALEZ II Ricky G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
2 PARK Brian 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% 1%
3 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
5 DIXON Thomas 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% < 1%
6 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
7 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
8 KIM Edward J. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
9 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
10 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
11 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 KING Cameron 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
13 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
14 GASIOROWSKI Devin G. 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
15 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
16 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 3%
17 SALERNO Gaetano 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
18 MAK Jeff 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 6%
18 QUINN Maloy S. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
20 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
21 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
23 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
25 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
26 GUBIN Bobby 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
27 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
28 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
29 REJALI Darius 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
30 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
31 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
32 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
33 GORMAN Aaron 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
34 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
35 DURINGTON Wyatt S. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
36 BOYKO Ryker 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
36 LEE Daniel J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 1%
38 WU Byron 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
39 STANCILL Hunter G. 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
40 AKOCS Ethan 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
41 WHITMORE James C. 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
44 HANAUER Carter J. 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
45 THOMAS Arden J. 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% -
46 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
47 JORDAN Anton 100% 90% 52% 14% 1% -
48 MOON Nathan T. 100% 90% 58% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.