December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 KUMBLA Samarth - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
2 CHEN James P. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 3% 16% 34% 35% 12%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
6 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 28% 16% 4%
7 CHEN Allen - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
8 KAO Castor T. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
9 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
10 KELLY William J. - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 16%
11 KIM Nicholas W. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
12 GRASS Andrew E. - - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% -
13 STANLEY Mason B. - - - 1% 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 7% 2% -
14 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
15 HUANG Dongrong - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 29% 16% 3%
16 XIAO Ethan J. - - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
17 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
18 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
19 YU Vinni - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 23% 12% 3% -
20 ROSOWSKY Ahmed - - - - - - - 1% 5% 16% 31% 33% 14%
21 OURSLER Jack - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 2%
22 LO Conrad - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
23 VOGLER Justin K. - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 26% 27% 16% 5% 1%
24 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
25 UM Ethan A. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
26 LEE Jacob J - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
27 CHEN Andrew - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
28 BRUK Peter J. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 2% -
29 SONG Aiden S. - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% -
30 XIAO Enoch A. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 24% 11% 2%
31 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
32 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
33 SONG Leonardo T. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% -
34 LIN Dashiell - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% < 1% -
35 ONIK Elijah T. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 12% 1%
36 WU Alexander - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 6% 1% -
37 LIMA Kevin M. - - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
38 LAO Scott E. - - - 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
39 LI Richard 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
40 BAE Kevin - - 1% 3% 8% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
41 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - - - - - 1% 5% 15% 27% 29% 17% 4%
42 HUTH Mitchell - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
43 GRIFFITH JACK - - - 1% 4% 13% 23% 28% 20% 9% 2% -
44 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 1% 4% 12% 21% 24% 20% 12% 5% 1% - - -
45 GOOR Julian 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
46 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
47 LEWIS Paul D. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% 1% -
48 TANG Owen S. 1% 7% 18% 27% 25% 15% 6% 2% - - - -
49 ESPINOZA Joaquin - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
50 DAI Jonathan T. - - - - 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
51 DICKSON Farr R. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
52 JEON Caleb A. - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
53 LEE Aidan - - 3% 10% 22% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - -
54 MION Lorenzo - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 14% 6% 1% -
55 ZHENG Alan H. - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 1% -
56 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
57 DESERANNO Jeidus 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
58 PAIK Joon K. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
59 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 2% 7% 18% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
60 SINGH Dayaal - - - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
61 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 24% 23% 15% 6% 1% -
62 ADLER David R. - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
63 LI Owen - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
64 BANERJEE ANUP - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
65 ZHANG Andy W. - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
66 HUTH Jacob - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
66 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 5% 16% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% - - - - -
68 DETERING Julian - 2% 8% 18% 25% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - -
69 LEWIS Akhil 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
70 AHN Jun - - 1% 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
71 JANG Jaewon - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 5% -
72 GONG Benjamin - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
73 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
74 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 24% 18% 8% 2% - -
75 VAZQUEZ Zander - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
76 DESAI Nalin H. - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
77 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
78 XIAO EDWARD - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
79 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
80 LI Eric - 1% 4% 12% 22% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
81 DIERKS Kian - 2% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - - -
82 SEZER Kaya - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 26% 17% 6% 1%
83 MITBERG Gregory W. - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 10%
84 FUKUDA Alessio R. - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - -
85 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 2% - -
85 HO Jia Le Sean 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
87 WONG Adam L. - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 26% 17% 7% 1%
88 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - 1% 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
89 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
90 TSAO Lukas 9% 26% 31% 21% 9% 3% 1% - - - - - -
91 LOVE Aaron - 1% 5% 15% 24% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
92 GERVAIS Joel - - 1% 3% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 5% 1% - -
93 NAGER Noah - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 2% - - -
94 BING Charles - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
95 DORAN Wesley C. - 2% 10% 21% 28% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
96 DOBBINS Evan W. - 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
98 KIM Brandon J. 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
99 KIM Yonjae - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
100 BURKE Spencer W. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
101 CHIN Julian S. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
102 ROSE Ben 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
103 TRAUGOT Owen G. 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
104 LI Raphael C. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
105 ZHANG Yun Isaac 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
106 KO Brian J. - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
107 CHENG Matthew S. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
108 CANLAS Nathan 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1%
109 GODZHIK Zachary - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
110 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
111 DIVITO Dylan - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
112 UPTON Craig 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
113 SHAFAIE Ali - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
114 SISINNI Riccardo 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
115 REYES Omar - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
116 JIANG Owen 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% -
117 LIN James G. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
118 ZHANG Aaron 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
119 OH SEAN 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
120 HOBSON Aaron K. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 5% -
121 KWON Ethan - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
122 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
123 KEE Andrew L. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
124 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
125 ZOBEL Eric H. 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
126 SHEPHERD Conner M. 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
127 COELHO Cristiano P. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
128 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
129 ZENG Lucas H. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
130 RUFFNER Blake W. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
131 FOGELSON Frederick J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
132 WYMAN Julian 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
133 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
134 MA Andrew 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
135 JAIN Aditya - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
136 MIN Eric 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
137 MIALL Steven A. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
138 BARTEL Jacob L. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
138 KIM Ryan Y. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
140 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
141 PO Oliver 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
142 MOHAMED Amir 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
143 SHIN Joshua J. 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
144 LI Arvin 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
144 LEE Jacob 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
146 BERMENDER Cameron - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
147 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
148 GAO William 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
149 ZILINSKIY Eduard - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
150 ZHAI Jeffrey 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
151 DEGROOT Blake 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% -
152 LANG Dong Lin 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
153 JAUME Andrei 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
154 KITAGAWA Eric S. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
154 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
156 MYERS Dean 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
157 QIAN Jason H. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
158 HE Xiangrui 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
159 LUH Ethan K. - 6% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
160 IVANENKO Alex 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
161 LIN Michael 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
162 GRAHAM Roy J. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
163 PORRAS Cristian 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
164 LI Matthew 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
165 HOSKERI Anik S. 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
166 MOHAMED Murad 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
167 LIGOS Alex M. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
168 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
169 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
169 MCISAAC Finn 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
171 CHENG Nathan 1% 7% 21% 34% 26% 10% 1%
172 BERK Theodore 5% 30% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
173 CO Dylan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
174 MUSHER Benjamin J. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
174 WONG Adrian 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
176 YAO Bradley 13% 43% 32% 10% 1% - -
177 SONG Bryan 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% - -
178 DINSAY Kristjan 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
179 JI Aidan Y. 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
180 GRISWOLD Abel B. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1%
181 CHENG Jonathan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
182 TANG Albert 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
182 HSIUNG Richie 7% 32% 41% 17% 3% -
184 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
185 SEAL Maximus R. 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
186 WECHSLER Jacob 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
186 ZHENG zhe 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
188 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
189 WANG Michael 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
190 WOO Christian 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
191 LU Yikai - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
192 ELKOUSY Laith H. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
193 YOON DYLAN 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
194 WANG Mason 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
195 YAP Nathan 50% 37% 11% 2% - - -
196 KIM Jackson 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
196 GUO Justin 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
198 SIMA Congyu Josh 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
199 TANG August L. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
200 OH Jaden 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
200 KIM Adrian 66% 29% 5% - - - -
202 LEE Chris 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
203 SAGE Michael P. 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
204 TRUBETSKI David 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
205 LOVIN Vlad 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
206 QUINONES Diego A. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
206 PARK Sky 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
208 WU Nicholas - 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
209 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
209 CHO Justin Y. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
209 TAHOUN Mostafa 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
212 FAN Xikai 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
213 SONG Austin 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
214 GOGOI Vir K. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
215 DAVIDSON Elliot 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
216 ZHAO Bowen 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
217 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
218 BERNABE Rafael 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
219 DESHMUKH Arjun 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
219 LI Avery Peihong 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
219 FINLEY Dylan 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
222 CONVERSE Warren D. 6% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.