December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, December 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
2 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
3 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 48% 19% 4%
7 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
8 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
9 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
10 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
11 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
12 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 26% 9% 2% -
13 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 50% 26% 9% 2% -
14 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 12%
15 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 48% 19% 3%
16 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 22% 6% 1%
17 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
18 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
19 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 38% 15% 3% -
20 ROSOWSKY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 47% 14%
21 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
22 LO Conrad 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
23 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 22% 6% 1%
24 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 14% 4% -
25 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
26 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
27 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
28 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 33% 12% 3% -
29 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 33% 13% 3% -
30 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 37% 14% 2%
31 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 26% 10% 2% - -
32 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 61% 35% 14% 3% -
33 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
34 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 70% 45% 22% 8% 2% < 1% -
35 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
36 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 72% 47% 24% 8% 2% -
37 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 46% 22% 7% 1% -
38 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 26% 10% 2% - -
39 LI Richard 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
40 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 71% 46% 22% 7% 1% -
41 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 51% 22% 4%
42 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
43 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 31% 11% 2% -
44 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 38% 18% 6% 1% - - -
45 GOOR Julian 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
46 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
47 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
48 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 92% 74% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - - -
49 ESPINOZA Joaquin 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 54% 28% 10% 2% -
50 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 24% 8% 2% -
51 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
52 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
53 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 38% 16% 5% 1% - -
54 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 22% 8% 2% -
55 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 8% 2% -
56 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
57 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
58 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
59 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 47% 22% 7% 1% - -
60 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 73% 49% 24% 8% 2% -
61 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 70% 46% 23% 8% 2% -
62 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 28% 10% 3% - -
63 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 31% 12% 3% - -
64 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 35% 14% 4% 1% -
65 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
66 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
66 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 52% 26% 10% 3% - - - - -
68 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 98% 89% 71% 45% 22% 8% 2% - - -
69 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 90% 70% 43% 20% 7% 2% - - - - -
70 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% - -
71 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 46% 20% 5% -
72 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
73 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
74 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 11% 3% - -
75 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
76 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 68% 44% 21% 8% 2% - - -
77 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 59% 35% 15% 4% 1% -
78 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 3% - - -
79 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 15% 4% 1% -
80 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 61% 36% 16% 5% 1% - -
81 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 97% 88% 67% 40% 18% 5% 1% - - -
82 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 24% 7% 1%
83 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
84 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 39% 18% 6% 1% - -
85 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 8% 2% - -
85 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
87 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 8% 1%
88 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1% - - -
89 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 69% 44% 21% 7% 1% -
90 TSAO Lukas 100% 91% 65% 34% 13% 3% 1% - - - - - -
91 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 30% 12% 3% 1% - - -
92 GERVAIS Joel 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% - -
93 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 51% 27% 10% 3% - - -
94 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 36% 16% 5% 1% - -
95 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 97% 88% 67% 39% 16% 5% 1% - - - -
96 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 97% 87% 68% 44% 22% 8% 2% - - -
98 KIM Brandon J. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
99 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
100 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
101 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
102 ROSE Ben 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
103 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
104 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
105 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
106 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
107 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
108 CANLAS Nathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
109 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
110 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
111 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 26%
112 UPTON Craig 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
113 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
114 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
115 REYES Omar 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
116 JIANG Owen 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
117 LIN James G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
118 ZHANG Aaron 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
119 OH SEAN 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
120 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
121 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
122 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
123 KEE Andrew L. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
124 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
125 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
126 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
127 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
128 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
129 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
130 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
131 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
132 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
133 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
134 MA Andrew 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
135 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
136 MIN Eric 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
137 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
138 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
138 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
140 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
141 PO Oliver 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
142 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
143 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
144 LI Arvin 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
144 LEE Jacob 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
146 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
147 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
148 GAO William 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
149 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
150 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
151 DEGROOT Blake 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
152 LANG Dong Lin 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
153 JAUME Andrei 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
154 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
154 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
156 MYERS Dean 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
157 QIAN Jason H. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
158 HE Xiangrui 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
159 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
160 IVANENKO Alex 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -
161 LIN Michael 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
162 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
163 PORRAS Cristian 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
164 LI Matthew 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
165 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
166 MOHAMED Murad 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
167 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
168 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
169 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
169 MCISAAC Finn 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
171 CHENG Nathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
172 BERK Theodore 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
173 CO Dylan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
174 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
174 WONG Adrian 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
176 YAO Bradley 100% 87% 43% 11% 2% - -
177 SONG Bryan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
178 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
179 JI Aidan Y. 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
180 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1%
181 CHENG Jonathan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
182 TANG Albert 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
182 HSIUNG Richie 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% -
184 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
185 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
186 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
186 ZHENG zhe 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
188 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
189 WANG Michael 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
190 WOO Christian 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
191 LU Yikai 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
192 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
193 YOON DYLAN 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
194 WANG Mason 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
195 YAP Nathan 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
196 KIM Jackson 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
196 GUO Justin 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% - -
198 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
199 TANG August L. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
200 OH Jaden 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
200 KIM Adrian 100% 34% 5% - - - -
202 LEE Chris 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
203 SAGE Michael P. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
204 TRUBETSKI David 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
205 LOVIN Vlad 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
206 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
206 PARK Sky 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
208 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
209 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
209 CHO Justin Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
209 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
212 FAN Xikai 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
213 SONG Austin 100% 88% 50% 17% 3% - -
214 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
215 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
216 ZHAO Bowen 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
217 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
218 BERNABE Rafael 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
219 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
219 LI Avery Peihong 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
219 FINLEY Dylan 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
222 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.