Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 WU Joseph - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 WU Jonathan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
3 MAZUR Daniil - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
5 GERAGHTY Michael P. - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
6 SHA Michael 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
7 COHEN Jared E. - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
8 RHYU Kozmo - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
9 KOYFMAN Benjamin 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% < 1%
10 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
11 CAO Brad - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
12 SWANSON Lars M. 1% 8% 30% 39% 20% 3%
13 KUMAR Aidan - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
14 ARAVIND Athreya - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6%
15 LI Benjamin - 5% 24% 40% 26% 4%
16 CAI Brian - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
17 MAO Benjamin 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% < 1%
18 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
19 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
20 MISHIMA Torata - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
21 KNOX James - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
22 CHEN Eric - - 1% 9% 44% 46%
23 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 8% 30% 42% 20%
24 ZHANG Caden 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2%
25 BHATNAGAR Ayan - - 2% 16% 52% 30%
26 LIOU Solomon 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 1%
27 BUSH Thomas - 6% 25% 40% 25% 5%
28 PHO Eric - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
28 LAI Boden 5% 42% 39% 12% 1% -
30 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
31 SHCHUR Landon 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
32 MATTO Edward J. - 10% 36% 41% 13% 1%
33 GAO Daniel - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
34 NIKOLOV Peter - 7% 27% 37% 23% 5%
35 ZHAO Luhan - 2% 15% 37% 35% 9%
36 ZHANG YuJian - - 5% 27% 50% 18%
37 LAI Aedin 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
38 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
39 CARTER Austin L. - 2% 18% 40% 32% 8%
40 BEALS Alden 3% 21% 41% 30% 5% -
41 MARTINEZ Joshua 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
42 LIN Harrison 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
43 SERAFIN Ben - 5% 22% 39% 29% 5%
44 JORDAN Anton 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
44 PARK Nicholas 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
46 SAVORETTI Pietro 31% 45% 20% 4% - -
46 AMOLSCH Dylan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
48 HE Lawrence - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
49 HEADRICK Lance 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
50 VALES Keyan 2% 24% 41% 26% 6% -
51 WALTHER Bryan M. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
52 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
53 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
54 MORSE Tyler - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
55 WOLFE Alex - 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
56 BARREIRO Darren - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
57 DALY Conor 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
58 DOLMETSCH Max 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
59 O'HARROW Tristan C. 1% 15% 43% 33% 8% -
60 CHEN Jun Ho 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
61 ALI Farhan 16% 46% 30% 8% 1% -
62 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 11% 34% 39% 14% 1%
63 MASSE Jack 76% 22% 2% - - -
64 ZHANG Roland 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
65 SAVORETTI Francesco - 5% 29% 40% 21% 4%
66 HUTZ Michael B. 49% 42% 8% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
68 SINGH Aryaman 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
69 CAO Albert - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
70 GRAYSON Joshua 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
71 ACKLAND Matthew 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
72 JIANG ryan 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
73 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
74 TIRRELL Justin J. 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
75 LEONE III Charles D. - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
76 GANESAN Mathavan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
77 BOYKO Frank C. 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
78 PAN Colin 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
78 KORSCHUN Daniel - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
80 DISIMONE David Z. - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
81 LAM Alan 17% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
82 KIRSCH Adam J. 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
83 KANG EUNWOO 5% 27% 42% 23% 3% -
84 RICH celester 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
85 HU Robert J. 29% 55% 14% 1% - -
85 REPIC Oliver 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
85 MEN Junda 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
88 LAM Bill 14% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
89 FORAIDA Khalid 79% 20% 2% - - -
90 LENAR David 80% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.