Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 WU Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
3 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
5 GERAGHTY Michael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
6 SHA Michael 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
7 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
8 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
9 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% < 1%
10 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
11 CAO Brad 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
12 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
13 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
14 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
15 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 4%
16 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
17 MAO Benjamin 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% < 1%
18 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
19 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
20 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
21 KNOX James 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
22 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 46%
23 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
24 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
25 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 30%
26 LIOU Solomon 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 1%
27 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5%
28 PHO Eric 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
28 LAI Boden 100% 95% 53% 13% 1% -
30 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
31 SHCHUR Landon 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
32 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 90% 54% 14% 1%
33 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
34 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5%
35 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 9%
36 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 18%
37 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
38 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
39 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
40 BEALS Alden 100% 97% 76% 35% 5% -
41 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
42 LIN Harrison 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
43 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 5%
44 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
44 PARK Nicholas 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
46 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
46 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
48 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
49 HEADRICK Lance 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
50 VALES Keyan 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% -
51 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
52 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
53 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1%
54 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
55 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 90% 59% 20% 2%
56 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
57 DALY Conor 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
58 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
59 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 99% 84% 41% 8% -
60 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
61 ALI Farhan 100% 84% 38% 9% 1% -
62 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
63 MASSE Jack 100% 24% 3% - - -
64 ZHANG Roland 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
65 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
66 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 51% 8% 1% - -
67 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
68 SINGH Aryaman 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
69 CAO Albert 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
70 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
71 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
72 JIANG ryan 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
73 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 87% 47% 13% 1% -
74 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
75 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
76 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
77 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
78 PAN Colin 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
78 KORSCHUN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
80 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
81 LAM Alan 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
82 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
83 KANG EUNWOO 100% 95% 67% 26% 3% -
84 RICH celester 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% -
85 HU Robert J. 100% 71% 16% 1% - -
85 REPIC Oliver 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
85 MEN Junda 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
88 LAM Bill 100% 86% 43% 10% 1% -
89 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 21% 2% - - -
90 LENAR David 100% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.