Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 9:00 AM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 14%
3 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
5 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
6 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 28%
7 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
9 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
10 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
11 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
12 CAI Brian 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
13 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% < 1%
14 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 24%
15 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
16 SHEN Max 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
17 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
18 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 49%
19 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
20 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 4%
21 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
22 CAO Albert 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
23 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
24 SINGH Aryaman 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
25 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
27 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
28 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% 1%
29 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 4% -
30 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 99% 83% 40% 8% -
31 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
32 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
33 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
34 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
35 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 100% 90% 54% 14% 1%
36 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
37 HU Robert J. 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% < 1% -
38 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26% 4%
39 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
40 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
41 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
42 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
43 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
44 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
45 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
46 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
47 MEGGERS Davin 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1% -
48 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
49 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
50 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
51 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
52 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
53 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
54 KIM Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52% 10%
55 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 87% 46% 10% 1% -
56 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 60% 17% 2% - -
57 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
58 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
59 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
60 USDIN Anton 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
61 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
62 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
63 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
64 KIM Jeff 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
65 CAO Brad 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
66 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 19% 2%
67 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
67 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
69 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
70 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
71 HERZ Alexander S. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
72 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
73 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
74 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
75 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
76 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
77 LEE JoonWon 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
78 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
79 ROTONDI Gregory V. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
80 MODANLOU Navid 100% 88% 43% 9% 1% - -
81 ABBOUD Michael 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
82 ZHANG Sen 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
83 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 91% 47% 11% 1% -
84 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
85 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
86 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
87 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
88 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
89 MARSH Alex 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
90 PAN Colin 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
91 WANG Clayton 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
92 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
93 NANCE Jonathan W. 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
94 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
95 MILLSON Daniel 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
96 SO Lorenzo 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
97 WANG Aiden 100% 50% 7% - - - -
98 WU Shaochi 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
99 ALI Farhan 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
100 SEID Zachary W. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
101 O'REILLY Robert 100% 81% 20% 2% - - -
102 PETROW Zoryan 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% - -
103 MARKOWITZ William M. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
104 WOODLEY George 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
105 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4% -
106 EVANS Allen L. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
107 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 85% 44% 9% 1% -
108 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
109 BUI Ryan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
110 HULL Liam 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
110 DAN Rex 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
112 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
113 LENZ Carter 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
114 ALI Adam 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
115 MORET Eric N. 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% - -
116 DAN Chuntao 100% 92% 52% 14% 2% - -
116 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 12% - - - - -
116 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
116 WATSON Raymond 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
120 KANG JUNWOO 100% 84% 45% 13% 1% - -
121 GIAMPETRO Nicholas 100% 31% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.