Goldfinch ROC D1A, Vet, RJCC and chair fencing

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 11:00 AM

SportsPlex At Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - - 6% 35% 58%
2 JONES Simon A. - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
3 EKE Frank - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
5 WU Joseph - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
6 MAO Benjamin - 3% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
7 MORSE Tyler - 5% 42% 39% 13% 1%
8 KOBI Samuel - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
9 FULLER George K. - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
10 SHCHUR Landon 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
11 GALLANT Antoine - 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
11 SUN Jason 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
13 IARIKOV Nicholas 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
14 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
15 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
16 AGAON Shawn - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
17 GAO Daniel - 2% 12% 35% 41% 10%
18 LIOU Solomon - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
19 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - 8% 33% 42% 17%
20 CAI Brian - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
21 WOLFE Alex - 2% 16% 36% 34% 11%
22 YU Hunter 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
23 BANKULLA Nihal R. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2%
24 LI Brian X - - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
25 CAO Brad - 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 2%
26 DODIN David - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11%
27 PRIHODKO Max - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
28 THAKUR Om S. 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
29 BASOK Nikita - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
30 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
31 MELCHER Jack H. - - 3% 18% 43% 37%
32 RICHARD Owen - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
33 HOLTZ Donovan K. - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
34 LEE JoonWon 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
35 ALFAIATE Lucas - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
36 SAVORETTI Francesco - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
37 LAI Boden 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
38 ZHAO Luhan - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
39 PARK Frederick - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
40 WU Jonathan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
41 BENJAMIN Julio F. - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
42 SUN James H. 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
43 CHEN Jun Ho 5% 34% 39% 18% 4% -
44 KIM Byung - - 1% 11% 36% 41% 10%
45 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
46 ZUCKER Noah L. - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
47 LUNDBORG Jr. Tad C. - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
48 TIRRELL Justin J. - 3% 19% 37% 31% 9%
48 BHATNAGAR Ayan - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
50 MISHIMA Torata - 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
50 CAO Albert - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
52 SHEN Max - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
53 LAI Aedin 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
54 KOKENGE Reid - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
54 OSTIGUY Cameron 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
56 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. - 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
57 SERAFIN Ben 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
58 PAN Tristan 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2% -
59 HONG James 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
60 LI Benjamin - 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
61 MRAK Michael R. 1% 14% 35% 35% 14% 2%
62 COHEN Jared E. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
63 DISIMONE David Z. 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
63 SKAALAND Will 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
65 HE Lawrence - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
65 SHA Michael 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
67 LEE Noah - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
68 CHAI Jonathan - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
69 OKUN Benjamin 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
70 CHAI Ethan 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
71 GRAYSON Joshua 45% 49% 6% - - -
72 REDDY Arya 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
73 ZHANG ethan 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
74 SWANSON Lars M. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
75 LIU Jeremiah W. 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
76 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
77 ARAVIND Athreya 1% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
78 PAYNE Massimo 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
78 SUN Jeffery 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
80 HERGERT Benito - - 10% 39% 39% 11%
81 FUSSMAN Yuval 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
82 COETZEE Frans M. 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
83 HU Robert J. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
84 HERGERT Earl - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
85 BUSH Thomas - 1% 7% 26% 42% 21% 2%
86 CORRIDON Jack T. 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
87 KWON Aaron 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
88 STELTENKAMP Neal 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
89 ZHANG Roland 66% 29% 4% - - -
90 AGAON Ethan - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5%
91 HU Anton 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
92 CHU Brandon A. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
92 UPSHAW Micah 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
94 BARREIRO Darren - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
95 MARTINEZ Joshua 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
95 TEH Steven 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
95 LOESER Jacob 7% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
98 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
99 GANESAN Mathavan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
100 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
101 NABAVI Matthew R. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
101 MEN Junda 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
103 WONG King-Yee 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
104 WERR Tyler 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
105 DORASZELSKI Mark 4% 25% 43% 22% 5% - -
106 XIE Brandon 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
106 SHULKIN Mark 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
108 SONG Troy 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
109 OTTO Nathaniel B. 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
110 HUGHES Michael D. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
111 OH Kevin Y. < 1% 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
112 ACKLAND Matthew 68% 28% 4% - - -
113 MARTINEZ Jose 18% 50% 27% 5% - - -
114 JACKSON Nicholas 44% 51% 5% - - -
115 BEN-YAACOV Shai D. 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
116 WU Colin 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
117 BENTAHA Averroes 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.