Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
3 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
5 ZHU Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
6 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
6 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
8 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
9 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
10 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
11 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
12 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
13 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
14 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
15 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
16 PAK Elliot 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
17 KIM Minjae 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
18 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
19 YUEN Nathan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
20 MIAO KUNQI 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
20 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
20 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
23 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
24 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
25 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
26 LEE Chun Po 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
27 DOWDELL Riley 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
28 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
29 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
30 RANGEL Arturo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
31 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
32 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
34 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
35 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
36 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
37 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
38 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
39 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
40 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
41 WANG owen 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
41 WESTON Tom 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
43 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
44 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
46 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
47 LEE Inwoo 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 2% -
48 HINTON Evan 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
49 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
50 LIU Yikun 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
51 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
52 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
53 JU Hanul 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
54 NG Biwon 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
55 JAMES Patrick 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
56 WATT Darren 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
57 LEE Bryson 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
58 LI Ethan R. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
59 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 6%
60 LI Yunji 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
61 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
62 ZHANG Joe 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
63 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
64 PAINTER Noah 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
65 DAO Alexander 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
66 RAMOS Max 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
67 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
68 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
69 TIEN Jabin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
70 LIU Noah 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
71 MING Nathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
72 RICHARD silas 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
73 GOMEZ ISLAS Ezar Emiliano 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
74 LIU Yueri 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
75 PRAKASH Hari 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
75 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
77 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
78 CHU Allan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
79 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
80 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
80 CLAES Lucas 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
82 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
83 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
84 GU Aidan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
85 LI zerong 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
86 YU Austin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
87 LAU Christian 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
88 SHEN Jiayi 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
89 BUFFINGTON Bryson 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.