Collegiate Cup RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
2 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
3 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
5 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 21%
6 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
7 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
8 ZHU Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
10 ZI QIN Shang 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
11 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
12 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
13 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
14 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
15 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
17 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
18 TANG William 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
19 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
20 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
21 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
22 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
23 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
24 MING Nathan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
25 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
26 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
27 CASTELLY Luke 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
28 LIU Yikun 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
29 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
30 JU Hanul 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
31 POSSON Luke 100% 57% 16% 2% -
32 KIM Ian 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
33 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
33 LU Ivan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
35 WANG owen 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
36 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
37 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
38 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
39 LEE Chun Po 100% 91% 55% 17% 2%
40 LI Yunji 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
41 PARK Augustine 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
42 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
43 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
44 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
45 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
46 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
47 WESTON Tom 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
48 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
49 HARR Carver 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
50 SHEN Jiayi 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
51 LEE Damien 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
52 KIM Teddy 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
53 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
54 MIAO Kunqi 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
55 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
56 LI Zerong 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
57 KIM Jayden 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
58 LIU Noah 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
59 PAINTER Noah 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
60 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
61 CHEN Bailey 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
62 HOLLAND Thomas 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
63 FAN Joshua 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
64 GOROZA Eric 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
65 LIU Yueri 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.