Collegiate Cup RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
2 MATTIS George - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
3 KIM Benjamin I. - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
3 LO Jake - - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
5 HUANG Thomas - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
6 SINGHA Orion - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
8 ZHU Max - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
9 WRIGHT Christopher - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
10 ZI QIN Shang 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
11 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
12 KIM Nathan - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
13 GAO Chaney C. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
14 HIGGINS Branford - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
15 KIM Sullivan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 ZAYDMAN David M. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
17 FU Leon - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
18 TANG William 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
19 SEO Shawn - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
20 WANG DEVON - 2% 13% 41% 44%
21 PAK Elliot 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
22 ZHENG Haoran - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
23 JONES Caleb - 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
24 MING Nathan 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
25 ZHOU Stanley Q. 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
26 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
27 CASTELLY Luke 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
28 LIU Yikun 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
29 CHOI Kaiden I. 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
30 JU Hanul 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
31 POSSON Luke 43% 42% 14% 2% -
32 KIM Ian 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
33 GILLISON Edward L. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
33 LU Ivan 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
35 WANG owen 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
36 EVERS Gabriel - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
37 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
38 SCHROEDER Dylan - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
39 LEE Chun Po 9% 36% 38% 15% 2%
40 LI Yunji 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
41 PARK Augustine 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
42 MULCAHY Olaf 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
43 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
44 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
45 CROSSMAN Brandon 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
46 OBERDERFER Vladimir 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
47 WESTON Tom - 1% 9% 30% 40% 17% 2%
48 MENDOZA Zachari 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
49 HARR Carver - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
50 SHEN Jiayi 43% 41% 13% 2% - - -
51 LEE Damien 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
52 KIM Teddy 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
53 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
54 MIAO Kunqi 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
55 KNUDSEN Travis 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
56 LI Zerong 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
57 KIM Jayden 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
58 LIU Noah 14% 44% 32% 10% 1% - -
59 PAINTER Noah 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
60 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
61 CHEN Bailey 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
62 HOLLAND Thomas 9% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
63 FAN Joshua 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
64 GOROZA Eric 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
65 LIU Yueri 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.