December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, December 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
3 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
5 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
6 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
10 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 30% 11% 3% - -
11 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 26%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
12 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 77% 50% 20% 4%
14 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
15 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
16 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
17 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
18 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
21 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 54% 27% 9% 1% -
22 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
23 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 32% 10% 1%
24 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
25 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 57% 30% 11% 2% -
26 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
27 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 67% 38% 14% 2%
28 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 45% 19% 5% -
29 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 59% 31% 11% 2% - -
30 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
31 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - -
32 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 61% 32% 10% 1%
33 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - - -
34 LI Richard 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
35 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
36 HASSANIN Mohamed 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 39% 17% 5% 1% -
37 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 31% 10% 1%
38 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 40% 17% 4% -
39 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 48% 22% 7% 1% -
39 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - -
41 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 31% 12% 3% 1% -
42 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 27% 10% 3% - - -
43 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 54% 27% 8% 1%
44 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 47% 21% 5% 1%
45 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 6%
46 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 38% 14% 2%
47 KORABLIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 36% 13% 3% -
48 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
49 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
50 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 65% 36% 12% 2%
51 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 42% 18% 5% 1% - - -
52 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% - - -
53 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
53 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% - - -
55 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 46% 23% 7% 1% -
56 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 54% 29% 11% 2% - -
57 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 43% 19% 5% 1%
58 LU Yikai 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 68% 43% 21% 7% 2% - - -
59 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
60 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 32% 13% 4% 1% -
61 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 22% 7% 2% - - -
62 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 48% 23% 7% 1% -
63 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
64 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
65 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 31% 11% 2% -
66 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 39% 15% 3% -
67 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
68 LI Arvin 100% 100% 96% 84% 60% 33% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
69 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 47% 21% 5% 1% -
70 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 50% 25% 8% 1% -
71 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1% - -
72 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 41% 18% 5% 1% - -
73 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 66% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - -
74 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 91% 72% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
75 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 62% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
76 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 2% - -
77 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
78 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 78% 54% 28% 10% 3% - - -
79 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 50% 24% 8% 2% - - - -
80 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 38% 17% 5% 1% -
81 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - -
82 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 58% 34% 15% 5% 1% - -
83 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 57% 32% 14% 4% 1% - - -
84 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 99% 90% 67% 37% 15% 4% 1% - - - - -
85 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 67% 43% 21% 7% 2% - - -
86 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 92% 75% 50% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
87 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 10% 2% - - -
88 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 71% 47% 24% 9% 2% - - -
89 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
89 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 87% 57% 27% 8% 2% - - - - - -
91 CO Dylan 100% 99% 92% 74% 47% 22% 7% 2% - - -
92 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 41% 18% 6% 1% - - -
93 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 63% 35% 14% 4% 1% - - - -
94 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 62% 34% 12% 2% -
95 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 68% 41% 17% 4% -
96 WU DING-JUN 100% 99% 91% 70% 41% 17% 5% 1% - - - - -
97 WYMAN Julian 100% 99% 91% 71% 43% 20% 7% 1% - - - -
98 REYES Omar 100% 99% 92% 73% 46% 22% 7% 2% - - - - -
99 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
100 CHENG Nathan 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
101 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
102 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
103 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 2%
104 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
105 YOON DYLAN 100% 98% 82% 47% 17% 3% -
106 TANG August L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
107 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
108 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
109 BADLANI Dev 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
110 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
111 SAGE Michael P. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
112 ADLER David R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
113 LEE Chris 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
113 REEVES Liam 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
115 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
116 LIN Michael 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
116 GERVAIS Joel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
118 MATSAKH Philip 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
118 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
118 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
121 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
122 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
123 QIAN Jason H. 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
124 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
125 MCISAAC Finn 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
126 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10%
127 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
128 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
128 SONG Noel 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
130 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
131 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
131 LEE Brendan 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
133 GUO Justin 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
134 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
135 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
136 WONG Adrian 100% 91% 60% 23% 4%
137 EDISON Ansel 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
138 GAO William 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
139 ORR Spencer 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
140 HAN Changhee 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
141 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
142 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
143 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 74% 29% 6% - -
144 AHN Jun 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
145 JIANG Owen 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
146 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
147 MOHAMED Murad 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
148 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
149 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
150 WONG Antonio 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
151 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
152 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
153 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
154 KIM Minhyeok 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
155 GONG Benjamin 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
156 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
156 HE Patrick 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
158 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
158 SENIC Lucas 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
160 DEGROOT Blake 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
161 GATZA Logan 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
162 JIANG Bowang 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
163 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
164 GUTH Joseph 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
165 LANG Dong Lin 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
166 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
167 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
168 RAJ Jay 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
169 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
170 LI Matthew 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
171 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
172 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
173 MILLER Jordan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
174 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
175 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
176 YAP Nathan 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
177 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
178 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 23%
178 PARK Jason B. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
180 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
180 LI Aaron 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
182 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
183 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
184 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
184 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
186 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
186 WANG Mason 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
188 WANG Rory 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
189 JAUME Andrei 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
190 SEMP Iain 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
191 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
192 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
193 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
194 BAE Kevin 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
195 GNEUHS Sam 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
196 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
197 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
198 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
199 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
199 GORDON Jacob 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
199 LEVY Jacob 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
202 DUSZA Zachery 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
203 LEE Seungwon 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
204 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.