Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 67%
2 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
3 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 19%
3 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 8%
9 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
10 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
11 SERAFIN Ben 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4%
12 BENJAMIN Julio F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
13 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 4%
14 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
15 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
16 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
17 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
18 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
19 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
20 MANN JAKEROD 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
21 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
22 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
23 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
24 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
25 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
26 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
27 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
28 LING Valdis 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
29 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
30 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
31 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 18%
32 LI Zachary 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
33 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 7%
34 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
35 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
36 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
37 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
38 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
39 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
40 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2%
41 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
42 CAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
43 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
44 SHA Michael 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
45 LEE Aiden 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
46 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
47 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
48 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 18%
49 ZHANG William 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
49 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
51 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
52 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
53 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 2%
54 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
55 GOODWIN Graham 100% 97% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
56 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
57 LIU Adam 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
58 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
59 LAI Boden 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
60 PACYNA ATILLA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
61 LEIBOWITZ Ryan 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
62 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
63 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
64 RIM Eugene 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
65 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
66 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
67 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
68 HU Lucas 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
69 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
70 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
71 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
72 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15% 1%
73 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 75% 29% 4% < 1% - -
74 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
75 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
76 AHMED Mohsen 100% 70% 27% 5% < 1% - -
77 UNG Kei 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 4% -
78 CHU Brandon A. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
79 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
80 WU Chi Kuan 100% 37% 6% < 1% - -
81 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
82 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
83 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
84 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
84 ZHANG Sen 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
86 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
87 ZHENG Alan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
88 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
89 JIANG Matthew 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
90 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
91 WU Colin 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
92 RIVERA Louis 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
93 CHENH Justin 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
94 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 14% 1%
95 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
96 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
97 HOWARD Jackson 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
98 DUKO Phillip 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
99 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 4%
100 OKUN Benjamin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
101 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
101 HU Anton 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
101 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
104 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
105 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
106 MIYASAKA Yuki 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
107 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
107 SO Lorenzo 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1% -
109 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
110 MEN Junda 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
111 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 11% 1%
112 WANG Xiangdong 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
113 ZHANG Lucas 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
114 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
115 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
116 CHAI Ethan 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1%
117 SETO Jing 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
118 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
119 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
120 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
121 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
122 BLAKESLEE Ian 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
123 MASSE Jack 100% 86% 33% 6% - - -
124 DAN Rex 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
125 GOON Sin Tong 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
126 LI Jade 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
127 XU Che 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
128 MANITT Philip 100% 40% 7% - - - -
129 AGGELER Donovan 100% 98% 82% 45% 10% 1% -
130 NILSEN Mark 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
131 KARIMOV Amir 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
132 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
132 WONG King-Yee 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% - -
134 JIANG Alex 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
135 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
136 DOWD Peter L. 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
137 NEALE James H. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
138 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
139 PENG Yue 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% - -
140 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
141 YIN Chujun 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
142 GAO Victor 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
143 DONG Haiyi 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
144 REPIC Oliver 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
145 LIN Zizhen 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
146 PAQUET Mathieu 100% 75% 31% 5% - - -
147 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
148 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 36% 4% - - - -
149 HOWELL Liam 100% 23% 2% - - - -
150 LONADIER Robert 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.