National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - - 3% 24% 72%
2 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
3 KAO Castor T. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 LI Eric - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
5 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
6 SONG Noel - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
7 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - 3% 24% 72%
8 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 5% 26% 52% 18%
9 MIN Eric - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
10 KIM Daniel Y. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
11 TANG Albert - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
12 JITTAN daniel - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
13 WU Alber Y. 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 1%
14 REYES Omar 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
15 MIALL Steven A. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
16 QIAN Jason H. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
17 LEE Benjamin H. - - - - 5% 36% 58%
18 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 5% 33% 61%
19 DIERKS Kian - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
20 CANNON Caiden C. - - - 5% 31% 63%
21 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
22 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
23 SCHLESINGER Nathan - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
24 LEE Brendan - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
25 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
26 WANG Rory 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
27 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
28 GOGOI Vir K. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
29 NUNNINK Phillip W. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
30 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
31 SHAGIDANYAN German 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
32 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 1% 11% 31% 38% 18% 2%
33 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
34 NICOLETTI Luca - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
35 STREB JR. Joseph T. - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
36 JIANG Owen - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
37 LI Arvin - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
38 KRYLTSOV Michael 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
39 MILLER Jeffrey E. - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
39 LIN James G. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
41 YAO Bradley 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 1%
42 PLASTARAS Trey 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
43 WOO Christian - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
44 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
45 MILLER Jordan 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
46 LEE Jonah - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14% 1%
47 PARK Rion 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
48 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
48 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
50 LU Royce - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
51 KIM Jackson 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
52 WENDLER Alexander J. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
53 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
54 FENG Michael 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
55 AHN Jun - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
56 PALMA Matthew Dominic 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
57 GRASS Andrew E. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
58 SPROWLES Cameron D. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
59 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
60 KIM Brian 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
61 QUINONES Diego A. 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
62 SEAL Maximus R. 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
63 DONG Richard 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
64 WILKINS Mateo 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
65 AKYAMAC Bora 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
66 MA Andrew - 7% 29% 41% 20% 3%
67 ANDRIC Borna 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
68 LIGOS Alex M. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
69 QIU Zhaocheng 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
70 TAN Aidan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
71 DOBBINS Evan W. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
72 CHUANG Oscar 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
73 LI Aaron 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
74 BING Charles - - 2% 11% 35% 42% 10%
75 TANG August L. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
76 PO Oliver - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
77 TALASILA Arush 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
78 WONG Garrick G. - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11% 1%
79 LU Kevin 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
80 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
81 MATSAKH Philip - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
82 GATRELL Mitchell E. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
83 OH SEAN - 2% 14% 37% 37% 9%
84 EDWARDS Maxon 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
85 PAN Henry 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
86 GIDDENS James 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
87 BAILEY William F. 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
88 ANDERSON Jacob 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
89 KLOTZ Isaiah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
89 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
89 WU Trevor 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
92 KEE Andrew L. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
92 TANG Alexander L. 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
94 LI Matthew - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
95 REICHEL Ezra 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
96 MAO Lucas 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
97 LOCKWOOD Jacob 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
98 LI Jett 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
99 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 12% 37% 35% 13% 2%
100 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 10% 30% 41% 19%
101 CHEZ Nolan 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
102 LYNCH Owen C. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
103 LEE Jacob 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
104 KIM Jonah 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
105 SIMA Congyu Josh 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
105 SHAO Eric 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
107 STRINGER David 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
108 LEVY Jacob 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
109 LI Samuel 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
110 BOYKO Miles 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
111 EDISON Ansel 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
112 KIM Aiden 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
113 MILLER Andrew 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
114 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
115 ZHEN Ethan 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
116 SINHA Verdhaan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
117 LEE Christopher T. 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
117 DINSAY Kristjan - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
119 NOWAK Joseph A. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
120 RUBIN Max 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
121 PARK Sky - 5% 24% 41% 25% 4% -
122 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
122 LI Matthew - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
124 DAVIDSON Elliot 1% 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
125 JI Aidan Y. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
126 GUTIERREZ Nick A. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
127 ZHAO Adam 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
128 ELKOUSY Laith H. - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
129 WANG Ethan 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
130 RUFFNER Blake W. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
131 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
132 JIANG Bowang 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
133 JEFFERY Jakob 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% - -
134 WANG Winston 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
135 SMITH Grant D. 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
136 BOLTON Lucas R. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
136 LIU William 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
138 LI Avery Peihong 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
139 RAJ Jay 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
140 YANG Dylan 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
141 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 30% 43% 21% 5% - -
142 HOWLAND Jonas 16% 46% 30% 7% 1% -
143 GORDON Jacob - 6% 25% 42% 24% 4%
144 PALMA Nathan Anthony 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
145 HUANG Eythan 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
146 ZHONG Maxwell 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
147 AGRAWAL Niki 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
148 CHAN Matthew 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
149 CHO Xzander 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
150 VANOYEN Dominick 12% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
151 CONVERSE Warren D. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
152 LEE Eugene 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
153 RYAN Connor Q. < 1% 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
154 WU Lucas 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
155 MCISAAC Finn 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
156 CAPRA Ethan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
156 GNEUHS Sam 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
158 CHIN Ryan 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
158 KENNEDY christo 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
160 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
161 FINLEY Dylan 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
162 O'BRIEN Jack K. < 1% 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
163 ORLOV Dmitriy 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
164 LEWIS Jared 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.