National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 LI Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
6 SONG Noel 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
7 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 18%
9 MIN Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
10 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
11 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
12 JITTAN daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
13 WU Alber Y. 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 1%
14 REYES Omar 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
15 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
17 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
18 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
19 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
20 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
21 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 14%
22 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
23 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
24 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
25 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
26 WANG Rory 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
27 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
28 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
29 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
30 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
31 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
32 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
33 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
34 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
35 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
36 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
37 LI Arvin 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 3%
38 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
39 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
39 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
41 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 1%
42 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
43 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
44 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
45 MILLER Jordan 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
46 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15% 1%
47 PARK Rion 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
48 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
48 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
50 LU Royce 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
51 KIM Jackson 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
52 WENDLER Alexander J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
53 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
54 FENG Michael 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
55 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
56 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
57 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
58 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 33% 7%
59 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 7%
60 KIM Brian 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
61 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
62 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
63 DONG Richard 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
64 WILKINS Mateo 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
65 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1%
66 MA Andrew 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
67 ANDRIC Borna 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
68 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
69 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
70 TAN Aidan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
71 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
72 CHUANG Oscar 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
73 LI Aaron 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
74 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 10%
75 TANG August L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
76 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
77 TALASILA Arush 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
78 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12% 1%
79 LU Kevin 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
80 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
81 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
82 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
83 OH SEAN 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
84 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
85 PAN Henry 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
86 GIDDENS James 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
87 BAILEY William F. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 13% 2%
88 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
89 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
89 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
89 WU Trevor 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
92 KEE Andrew L. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
92 TANG Alexander L. 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
94 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
95 REICHEL Ezra 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
96 MAO Lucas 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
97 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
98 LI Jett 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
99 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 2%
100 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
101 CHEZ Nolan 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
102 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
103 LEE Jacob 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
104 KIM Jonah 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
105 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
105 SHAO Eric 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
107 STRINGER David 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
108 LEVY Jacob 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
109 LI Samuel 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
110 BOYKO Miles 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
111 EDISON Ansel 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
112 KIM Aiden 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
113 MILLER Andrew 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
114 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
115 ZHEN Ethan 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
116 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
117 LEE Christopher T. 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
117 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
119 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
120 RUBIN Max 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
121 PARK Sky 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
122 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
122 LI Matthew 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
124 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
125 JI Aidan Y. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
126 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
127 ZHAO Adam 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
128 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
129 WANG Ethan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
130 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
131 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
132 JIANG Bowang 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
133 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
134 WANG Winston 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
135 SMITH Grant D. 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
136 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
136 LIU William 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
138 LI Avery Peihong 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
139 RAJ Jay 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
140 YANG Dylan 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
141 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
142 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% -
143 GORDON Jacob 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
144 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
145 HUANG Eythan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
146 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
147 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
148 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
149 CHO Xzander 100% 79% 38% 10% 2% - -
150 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
151 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
152 LEE Eugene 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
153 RYAN Connor Q. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
154 WU Lucas 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
155 MCISAAC Finn 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
156 CAPRA Ethan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
156 GNEUHS Sam 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
158 CHIN Ryan 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
158 KENNEDY christo 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
160 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
161 FINLEY Dylan 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
162 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
163 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
164 LEWIS Jared 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.