Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
2 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
3 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
3 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
5 TAI Edison 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 8% 1%
6 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
8 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
9 DIEDERICHS Jimmy G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
10 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
11 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
12 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
13 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
14 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
15 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
16 WANG owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18% 2%
17 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
18 WONG Baron 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
19 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 14%
20 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 31% 6%
21 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
22 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
23 SNELL James E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
24 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
25 WONG King-Yee 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
26 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
27 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
28 COLLINS Vernon 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
29 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
30 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
31 LEE Jayden J. 100% 99% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
32 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
33 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
34 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
35 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 28% 3%
36 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% 2%
37 LI Ethan R. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
38 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
38 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
38 THOMAS Michael 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% -
41 JAIN Samyak 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
42 LIU Yueri 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
43 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
44 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 3%
45 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
46 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
47 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
48 MA Victor 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
49 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
50 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
51 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
52 VENET Téva 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
53 SIM Ian 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
54 MIAO KUNQI 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
55 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
56 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
57 WANG Joey 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
58 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
59 KIM Ian 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
60 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
61 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
62 RITTER Clayton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
63 MCLAREN Mason 100% 31% 4% - - - -
64 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
65 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
66 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
67 YAO Shun 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
68 KIM Teddy 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
69 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
70 MILEY Walker 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
71 PARK Sangwook 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
72 ZONE Liam 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
73 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
74 ALLEN David 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
74 BARRAZA Eduardo 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
76 KIM Remington 100% 56% 10% 1% - - -
77 ZENG Andrew 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
78 WU Johnny y. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
79 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% - -
80 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
81 YU Austin 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
81 CHEW Aedan 100% 87% 34% 6% - - -
83 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 4% -
84 WONG Preston 100% 94% 65% 23% 4% - -
85 WU Alistair 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
86 MANDEL Christian 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
87 SHEN Jiayi 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
87 WILLIAMS Timothy 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
89 MUENKE Magnus 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
90 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
91 CHENG Trevor 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
92 LEE Royce 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
93 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
94 NG Biwon 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
95 DIAZ Valentino 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
96 ZHUANG William 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
96 JU Hanul 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
96 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
99 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
100 ANDERSON Kai 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
101 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 81% 32% 6% 1% - -
101 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% - -
103 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
104 BRECHTEL James 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
105 URCIOLI Phenix 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
105 KIM Tristan 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
107 WAGEMANN Nathan M. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
108 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
109 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
110 KEITH Michael 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
111 GOROZA Eric 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
111 YOUNG Quentin 100% 65% 13% 1% - - -
113 PRAKASH Hari 100% 82% 44% 12% 2% - -
114 HAMILTON Travis 100% 26% 3% - - - -
115 ZHANG Austin 100% 31% 3% - - - -
116 ANDERSON Donald 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
117 CAMP Ryder 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.