Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | CHEN Andrew | V V V V V V | V V V V V V | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
2 | SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. | V V V V V V | V V V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
3 | GRAHAM Roy J. | D V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
3 | HUTH Mitchell | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
5 | SONG Leonardo T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
6 | NAGER Noah | V V V V V D | V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
7 | SICHITIU Alexander | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
8 | TOLBA Abdelrahman | V D D D V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
9 | PELOSKY Zack B. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
9 | DESERANNO Jeidus | V V V V V V | V V | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
11 | MARX Oscar L. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
12 | LIANG Lixi (Henry) | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
13 | ANTON Nathaniel | V V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
14 | LEE Aidan | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
15 | YANG Luao | D V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
16 | ZHAI Jeffrey | V D D V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
17 | KEE Andrew L. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
18 | GEOGHEGAN Ronan | V V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
19 | RUSADZE Nickolas | V D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
20 | GAO William | D V V V D V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
21 | MOHAMED Murad | D V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
22 | CATINO Brennen | D V V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
23 | CHEN Allen | D D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
24 | REEVES Liam | V V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
25 | PAE Jonathan L. | V D V V D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
26 | DAI Jonathan T. | V D V D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
27 | TAHOUN Mostafa | D V V D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
28 | TIYA BIAYA K. | D V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
29 | LOVE Aaron | D V V D V D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
30 | LI Matthew | V V V D D D | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
31 | GOOR Julian | V D D D V | V V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
32 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | D D D D V V | V V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
33 | ZHANG Yun Isaac | V V V V V V | D | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
34 | CULLIVAN Justice | V V V V V | D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
35 | PAI Lakshan K. | V D V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
36 | GUO Sean | D V V V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
37 | PO Oliver | V V V V D D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
38 | KNOEPFFLER Alex | V D D V V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
39 | WILLIAMS Connor J. | V V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
40 | CANO Marcos E. | D V V V D V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
41 | SAGE Michael J. | V V V D D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
42 | SCHREIBER Samuel S. | V V D D V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
43 | ZHEN Ethan | D V D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
44 | GISLER Benjamin B. | D V V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
45 | MOHAMED Amir | V D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
46 | GORBACHEV Alexander | D V V V D D | D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
47 | LONG Connor M. | V D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
48 | LEE Jacob J | V V D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
49 | WECHSLER Jacob | D V V V D D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
50 | DOCTOR Aidan L. | D V V D D | V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
51 | EMENHEISER Conrad | D D V V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
51 | TSIMIKLIS Yanni | D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
53 | DOUGLAS Oscar M. | V D D V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
54 | DRESSEL Jet | D V V D D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
55 | QIU Daniel | D D D V V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
56 | TANG August L. | V D V D D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
56 | MARX Jackson L. | D D V D D V | V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
58 | TANG Owen S. | D V D D D V | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
59 | GUO Justin | D D V V D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
60 | LIU Eric Y. | D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
61 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | V D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
62 | SLOUGH Sean | D D V D D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
63 | JI Aidan Y. | V D D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
64 | ROSE Ben | D D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
65 | WONG Ethan | V D D V D | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
66 | LI Jinghua E. | D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
67 | METTAPALLI Tarun | V D D V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
68 | CHEN Kyle P. | D V V D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
69 | KNIZHNIK David | V D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
70 | ORLOV Dmitriy | D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
71 | WANG Winston | D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
72 | KOKE Matthew C. | D D D D V | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
73 | STONE Adam | D D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
74 | TORRES Treston | D D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
75 | TANG Albert | V D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
76 | DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. | D D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
76 | BERNABE Rafael | D D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
78 | HUANG Eythan | V D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
79 | RILEY Colin T. | D D D D V D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
80 | HUGHES Evan J. | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
81 | SONG Austin | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
81 | CLICK Aiden | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
83 | LIN Michael | D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
84 | ROBBINS Tusker F. | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
85 | SHIPMAN Andrew | D D D D D D | D | 0.0 | 0 | - |
85 | KAN Edward | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.