Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
2 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 1% 6% 26% 49% 19%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
3 HUTH Mitchell - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
5 SONG Leonardo T. - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
6 NAGER Noah - - - 3% 21% 49% 26%
7 SICHITIU Alexander - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
8 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
9 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
9 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 3% 27% 69%
11 MARX Oscar L. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
13 ANTON Nathaniel - 1% 15% 47% 31% 6%
14 LEE Aidan - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
15 YANG Luao - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
16 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
17 KEE Andrew L. - - 1% 11% 34% 41% 13%
18 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - - 6% 26% 44% 22% 2%
19 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 3% 24% 50% 23%
20 GAO William 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1% -
21 MOHAMED Murad - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
22 CATINO Brennen - 1% 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
23 CHEN Allen - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
24 REEVES Liam - 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
25 PAE Jonathan L. - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
26 DAI Jonathan T. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11% 1%
28 TIYA BIAYA K. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
29 LOVE Aaron 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
30 LI Matthew 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
31 GOOR Julian - - 6% 27% 49% 18%
32 PALMA Matthew Dominic 4% 24% 43% 23% 5% - -
33 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
34 CULLIVAN Justice 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
35 PAI Lakshan K. - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
36 GUO Sean 1% 10% 35% 40% 13% 1%
37 PO Oliver - 1% 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
38 KNOEPFFLER Alex - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 9%
39 WILLIAMS Connor J. - 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
40 CANO Marcos E. - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
41 SAGE Michael J. 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
42 SCHREIBER Samuel S. 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
43 ZHEN Ethan - 5% 23% 42% 25% 5% -
44 GISLER Benjamin B. 1% 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
45 MOHAMED Amir - 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
46 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 2% 13% 40% 39% 6%
47 LONG Connor M. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
48 LEE Jacob J 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
49 WECHSLER Jacob 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 1% 13% 45% 42%
51 EMENHEISER Conrad 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
51 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
53 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
54 DRESSEL Jet 26% 50% 21% 3% - -
55 QIU Daniel 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
56 TANG August L. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
56 MARX Jackson L. - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
58 TANG Owen S. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
59 GUO Justin 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
60 LIU Eric Y. 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
61 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
62 SLOUGH Sean 23% 45% 26% 6% - - -
63 JI Aidan Y. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
64 ROSE Ben 15% 64% 19% 2% - - -
65 WONG Ethan 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
66 LI Jinghua E. 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
67 METTAPALLI Tarun 4% 43% 43% 9% 1% -
68 CHEN Kyle P. - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
69 KNIZHNIK David 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
70 ORLOV Dmitriy 3% 34% 48% 14% 1% -
71 WANG Winston 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
72 KOKE Matthew C. 82% 17% 1% - - -
73 STONE Adam 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
74 TORRES Treston 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
75 TANG Albert - 6% 39% 38% 14% 2% -
76 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
76 BERNABE Rafael 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
78 HUANG Eythan 33% 46% 18% 2% - - -
79 RILEY Colin T. 75% 24% 1% - - - -
80 HUGHES Evan J. 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
81 SONG Austin 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
81 CLICK Aiden 24% 49% 22% 4% - -
83 LIN Michael 2% 16% 43% 33% 7% -
84 ROBBINS Tusker F. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
85 SHIPMAN Andrew 98% 2% - - - - -
85 KAN Edward 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.