January NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 ZHENG Andy - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 HU Lucas - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
3 LO Jake - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 FU Leon - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
6 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
7 ATKINS Levi H. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
8 LI Zachary - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 DODIN David - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
10 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
11 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
12 BARG Jonathan - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
13 YUE Hongrui - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
14 YANG Boyan - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 13%
15 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 KATS Dylan G. - - < 1% 4% 19% 43% 34%
17 SHAN Simon - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
18 BOUDREAUX James - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
19 KIM Nathan - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
20 RUBIN Daniel - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
21 GINZBURG Adam - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
22 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 4% 20% 40% 30% 7%
23 CHEN Leonardo - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
24 JONES Reilly - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
25 LIPPMAN Jake - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
27 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
28 DOUBOV Andrew - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
29 WANG Daniel - 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
30 PARK Nicholas - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
31 GRAVES Lawson - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
32 HUANG Kenneth - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
33 WANG justin - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
34 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
34 PAN Tristan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
36 KIM Jayden - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
37 SILVERS Ari - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
38 PARKER Isaiah 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
39 WANG Joey - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
40 MAO Benjamin - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
41 FAN Jackson - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
42 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
43 SONG Troy - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
44 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
44 HEADRICK Lance - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
46 KHANNA Nikhil - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11%
46 NORMILE Nicholas - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
48 WOLFE Alex - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
49 SU Caleb - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
50 ROMANOV Ethan - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
51 CHEN Brian - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
52 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
53 XIA Dashan - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
54 TRULL A.J. - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 19%
55 LAM Alan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
56 CHOI Zachary - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 5%
57 ZI QIN Shang - 2% 13% 30% 35% 18% 3%
58 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
59 WONG Baron 1% 7% 29% 39% 20% 3%
60 RIGGINS Joshua - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
61 WU Alistair - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
62 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 6% 35% 38% 17% 3% -
63 LEE Inwoo 3% 25% 42% 24% 6% -
64 LEE Aiden - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
65 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
66 HAMZA Tudor - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
67 HE Kaixuan - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
68 LIU Yueri - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
69 MODANLOU Navid - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
70 LEE Samuel Y. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
70 KIM Henry 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
72 JAIN Samyak 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
73 MORIN-JIANG Jake 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
74 KUGLER Luke - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
75 HALL Gabriel 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
76 WILLIAMS Logan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
77 KOFMAN David 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
78 LIU Yikun - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
79 SHCHUR Landon - 2% 16% 37% 35% 10%
80 LEE DoWon 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
81 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
82 TANG William - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
83 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
84 MIAO Quentin - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
84 DECKER Hunter 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
86 LEE Royce 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
87 BRODSKY Julian - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
87 XIE Brandon 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
89 CHEN Ryan 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
90 SIEDOW William 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
91 DADE MAXIMUS 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
92 KENT V David 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
93 DHAL Leon - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
94 AHMED Mohsen - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
95 CHEN Bowen 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
96 LOISEAU Oscar 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
97 LI Yunji (Rain) - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
98 WONG Maximus 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
99 YI Nathan 4% 30% 41% 21% 4% -
100 RAO Neil 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
101 COLEMAN Ian 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
102 BORISENKO Samuel 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
103 SINGH Ravin 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
104 ROWLAND Marsden 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
105 LAI Boden - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
106 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
107 FISHMAN Rahm - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
108 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
109 GLUSHKOV David 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
110 SOKOL Luke 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
111 NOFZIGER Bennett 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
111 ZHENG Jerry 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
113 GOROZA Eric 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
114 CHIN Dylan A. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
115 ZIEGLER John 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
116 YU Austin 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
117 YANG Gary 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
118 MITEV Alexander - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
119 COSGROVE Franklin 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
120 ALI Farhan - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
120 CHEN Leetyan 3% 24% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
122 ZHAO Pierce 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
123 MILEY Walker 4% 27% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
124 LESCURE Dimitri 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
125 CHENG Trevor 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
126 MUENKE Magnus 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
127 GADBURY Logan 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
128 KIM Teo 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
129 RUSSELL James 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
130 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
131 HE Bronto 40% 45% 13% 2% - -
132 HERNDON Liam 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
133 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
134 ZHANG Lucas 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
135 DUKO Phillip 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
136 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
137 WU Johnny y. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
138 MANGAN Hunter 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
139 KIM Remington 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
140 RAPALSKI Thomas 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
140 MOSLEY Wally 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
140 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
143 ROSIELLO Francesco 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
144 KIM Alexander 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
144 RONG Gordon 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
146 MEHROTRA Neel 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
147 NAEMI Barsam 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
148 SHIN Ryan 3% 24% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
149 LU Ryan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
150 BALA-MAY Noah 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
151 MAXU Tiger 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
152 SUH Aiden 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
153 DADE Augustus 65% 30% 5% - - - -
154 NILSEN Mark 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
155 PARKE Nathaniel 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
156 MOLLINIER Angel 63% 31% 5% - - -
156 LI Ray 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
158 CHAN Tyler 64% 31% 5% - - -
159 VINOTH Aaron 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
160 BUHLER Isaac 52% 40% 7% 1% - - -
161 LORENZ Nathan 66% 29% 5% - - - -
162 TOPPING Axel 76% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.