January NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 HU Lucas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
3 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
5 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
6 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
7 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
8 LI Zachary 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
9 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
10 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
11 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
12 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
13 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
14 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
15 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
16 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
17 SHAN Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
18 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
19 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
20 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
21 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
22 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
23 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
24 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
25 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
26 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
27 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
28 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
29 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
30 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
31 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
32 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
33 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
34 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
34 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
36 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
37 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
38 PARKER Isaiah 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
39 WANG Joey 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
40 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
41 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
42 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
43 SONG Troy 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
44 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
44 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
46 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
46 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
48 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
49 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
50 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
51 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
52 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
53 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
54 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
55 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
56 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
57 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
58 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
59 WONG Baron 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
60 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
61 WU Alistair 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
62 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% -
63 LEE Inwoo 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% -
64 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
65 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
66 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
67 HE Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
68 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
69 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
70 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
70 KIM Henry 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
72 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
73 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
74 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
75 HALL Gabriel 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
76 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
77 KOFMAN David 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
78 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
79 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
80 LEE DoWon 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
81 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
82 TANG William 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
83 DONG Haiyi(Leo) 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
84 MIAO Quentin 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
84 DECKER Hunter 100% 97% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
86 LEE Royce 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
87 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
87 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
89 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
90 SIEDOW William 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
91 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
92 KENT V David 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
93 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
94 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
95 CHEN Bowen 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
96 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
97 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
98 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
99 YI Nathan 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% -
100 RAO Neil 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
101 COLEMAN Ian 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
102 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
103 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
104 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
105 LAI Boden 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
106 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
107 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
108 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
109 GLUSHKOV David 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
110 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
111 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
111 ZHENG Jerry 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
113 GOROZA Eric 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
114 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
115 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
116 YU Austin 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
117 YANG Gary 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
118 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
119 COSGROVE Franklin 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
120 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
120 CHEN Leetyan 100% 97% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
122 ZHAO Pierce 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
123 MILEY Walker 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
124 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
125 CHENG Trevor 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
126 MUENKE Magnus 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
127 GADBURY Logan 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
128 KIM Teo 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
129 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
130 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
131 HE Bronto 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
132 HERNDON Liam 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
133 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% - -
134 ZHANG Lucas 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
135 DUKO Phillip 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
136 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
137 WU Johnny y. 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2% -
138 MANGAN Hunter 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
139 KIM Remington 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
140 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
140 MOSLEY Wally 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
140 LIU Zicheng (Andy) 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
143 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
144 KIM Alexander 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
144 RONG Gordon 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
146 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
147 NAEMI Barsam 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
148 SHIN Ryan 100% 97% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
149 LU Ryan 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
150 BALA-MAY Noah 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
151 MAXU Tiger 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
152 SUH Aiden 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
153 DADE Augustus 100% 35% 5% - - - -
154 NILSEN Mark 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
155 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
156 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 37% 6% - - -
156 LI Ray 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
158 CHAN Tyler 100% 36% 5% - - -
159 VINOTH Aaron 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
160 BUHLER Isaac 100% 48% 8% 1% - - -
161 LORENZ Nathan 100% 34% 5% - - - -
162 TOPPING Axel 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.