October NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, October 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 RAMIREZ Yeisser - - - - - 2% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2%
2 THOMPSON Soren - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
3 BRATTON Benjamin E. - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
3 SMITH Dwight 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
5 YOO Justin H. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
6 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
7 KIMATIAN Harrison J. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
8 MILAM Hugh - - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 11% 4% -
9 SHINDLER Oliver P. - - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 1% -
10 MCDOWALD Curtis E. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
11 KRAFT Dennis A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
12 SCHUMACHER Cooper (Shoey) J. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
13 HADZIC Alen - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
14 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 23% 13% 5% 1%
15 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% 1% - - -
16 CAMPBELL Daniel R. - - 1% 5% 13% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
17 VINNITCHOUK Theodore (Ted) - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
18 BREWER Andrew K. - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 7% 2% - -
19 WILSON Sean H. - - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 23% 24% 17% 8% 2% -
20 WEISS Miles J. - - - - 2% 6% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% -
21 SAITOC Tudor - - 2% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - -
22 SILVERS Noah E. - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
23 NOLLNER Dylan - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
24 LANGE Henry C. - - - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 25% 24% 15% 5% 1%
25 HILBERT Xavier - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 2% -
26 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - 2% 7% 16% 23% 23% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
27 XU Timothy (Tingwei) - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% -
28 LAWSON Nicholas W. - - - 1% 2% 7% 15% 22% 24% 17% 8% 2% -
29 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 9%
30 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 29% 22% 8% 1%
31 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. - 1% 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - -
32 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 22% 12% 4% 1%
33 TSINIS Alexander E. - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
34 HONDOR Robert D. - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 23% 23% 16% 8% 3% - -
35 HERBST Isaac L. - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 25% 13% 3%
36 KUMASHI Mihir R. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
37 GRIFFITHS Ryan - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
38 HOYLE Jacob C. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
39 EWART Jr. Stephen P. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
40 BISSINGER Michael P. 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
41 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 2% 6% 13% 21% 24% 19% 11% 4% 1% -
41 ZHANG Joshua 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
43 SANTOS Cameron A. - - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
44 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. - - - - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 30% 21% 6%
45 WHITE Sean - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 16%
46 FRANK Timmy 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
47 HADDAD Justin R. - - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 24% 25% 16% 6% 1%
48 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. - - - - 1% 2% 8% 16% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1%
49 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
50 GIBSON Nowell L. - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
51 MOORE Shomari A. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% -
52 FAFARD Fynn - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1%
53 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 1% 3% 8% 19% 27% 26% 14% 3%
54 PRYOR Jason A. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
55 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
56 KAULL James T. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
57 SHERRILL Edward R. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
58 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
58 GRAMS Steven - - - 1% 4% 11% 19% 24% 21% 13% 5% 1% -
60 RODNEY Adam R. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
61 ZHU Wilson - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
62 RUSSANOV Dennis 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
63 RONG Yao - - 1% 4% 10% 18% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
64 ZACHARAKIS Darius K. - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 24% 18% 9% 3% - -
65 BRUNET Nathan - 1% 3% 10% 18% 23% 21% 14% 7% 2% - - -
66 JONES Simon A. - - - 2% 8% 17% 25% 25% 16% 6% 1% -
67 SHARMA Sanil - 4% 15% 26% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
68 BEDOR William J. - 2% 8% 17% 25% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
69 VAYSBERG Nathan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
70 MECKE Cedric 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
71 CHENG Zachary K. - - 1% 3% 9% 17% 23% 22% 15% 7% 2% - -
72 SPITERI Gareth J. - - - 2% 5% 12% 20% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1% -
73 HOLTZ Donovan K. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
74 VOLKMANN Daniel R. - - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% -
75 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
76 DOLGONOS Mark - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
77 DUNCAN Corwin - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
78 WEISS Lewis E. - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
78 MA Ark - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 24% 22% 14% 6% 2% - -
80 TABLEMAN Doug S. - 2% 10% 20% 26% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - -
81 GAIDAR Daniel B. - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 24% 21% 12% 5% 1% - -
82 NORTH Gary S. 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1%
83 PLAISANCE Louis - - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
84 ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. - 3% 11% 20% 24% 21% 13% 5% 2% - - - -
85 LEI Jacob - 2% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 8% 3% 1% - - -
86 ZHENG Hagen - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 14% 6% 2% - - -
87 MANDOKI Sandor I. - 1% 4% 11% 19% 24% 21% 13% 6% 2% - - -
88 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 2% 6% 15% 23% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - - -
89 MALYSZ Anthony J. - - 3% 8% 17% 24% 23% 16% 7% 2% - - -
89 LI Jason Man Kit 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - - - -
91 MAISEL Simon F. - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 11% 4% 1% - - -
92 CANDELA Nicholas - - 2% 7% 15% 23% 23% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
93 XU Zitong (Evan) 1% 5% 15% 24% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
94 JEONG Connor - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
95 SHIN Sung (Andy) - - - 1% 3% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% -
96 SHENG Patrick Y. 1% 5% 15% 24% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
98 LIVERANT Skyler J. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
99 MUN Michael K. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
100 KUSHNERIK Ethan - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
101 MATVEEV Valentin S. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
102 ELGEZIRY Amro - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
103 SHUGART Henry R. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
104 MIELE Benjamin 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
104 SPIER Julian H. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
106 NGUYEN Ethan D. - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
107 LENDER David 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
108 SZAPARY Tristan B. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
109 KANG Michael H. 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
110 SLAVINSKIY Alan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
111 TUCKER Brad W. - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
112 RA Jr. Daniel M. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
113 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
114 LIANG Aaron 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
115 DOSS David A. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
116 LEE Aaron Y. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
117 TAFOYA Devin D. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
118 YOON Nathan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
119 ZHAO Howard - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 25%
119 LESPERANCE Lucas 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
121 SMITH Justin C. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
121 KRAVIT Connor B. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
121 LEE Timothy S. 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
121 LEE Alexander G. 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
125 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
126 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
127 WHITE Khristopher E. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
128 HURME Tommi K. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
129 WANG William M. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
130 COHEN Jared E. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 4% -
131 RAYLE Evan K. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
132 LEIGH David A. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
133 MARKOTA Vedran - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
134 BEIQUE-SIMMONS Henri Liam 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
135 KUMAR Anitya 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
136 HANXU Richard A. 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
137 LIU Kyle 5% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
138 YU Colin - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
138 SIROKY Michael 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
140 GOHEL Dayus T. 12% 31% 32% 18% 6% 1% -
141 LI Jesse 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
142 CHA Russell W. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
143 CHIEN Brandon - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
143 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
145 POLAKOSKI David R. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
146 FERGUSON Ross A. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
147 LEE Ryan 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
147 MASON Alexander T. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
149 WOZNIAK David 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
150 COHEN Bennett 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
151 GERAGHTY Michael P. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
152 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
153 TOWNSEND Avery S. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
153 BRANDRETH Garret 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
155 STUSNICK Hunter 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
156 SZABO Benedek H. 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
157 FISHLER Clifford 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
158 RIDGE John (Drew) A. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
159 GUO Austin S. 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
160 KIM Juni C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
161 IYOKI Kent - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
162 CROTCHETT Kaiden R. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
163 BLYTH Jourdain L. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 1%
164 COTTER Alexander J. 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
165 CUMMINGS Kai W. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
166 PARK Jong-Eun 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
167 HUGHES Levi H. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
168 ARIETA Ryan T. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
168 CONNOR Ryan T. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
170 SMITH Nicholas S. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
171 ROSTAL Scott E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
172 ZEKO David J. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
173 SINAI Nathan G. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
174 SHAMIS Mark 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
175 MUNLIN Donovan 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
176 KIM William M. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
177 DIXON Samuel 7% 24% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
178 O'HARA Keegan J. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
179 GRABER Andrew J. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
180 LIU Alexander 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
181 SHIREY Daniel L. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
182 BAKER Kevin G. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
183 SILVER Cameron 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
183 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
183 BOYCE Samuel H. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
186 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
187 BRENNAN Charles F. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
188 XIAN Ryan 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
189 WANG Nathan 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
190 MARAKOV Allen B. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
191 LOGUE Ethan D. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
192 FELDMAN Jaemin 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
192 STOTT Donovan R. 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
194 MARSHALL John W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
194 MILLIAN Matthew 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
194 FULLER George K. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
194 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
194 MCDERMOTT Brian 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
199 LEI Joshua 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
200 CANDREVA Hunter R. - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
200 ZHANG Matthew 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
202 WANG Kevin de-tai 7% 25% 33% 24% 9% 2% -
203 MANCINI Christopher M. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
203 LIN Ryan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
203 LI Brian X 6% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
206 COULL Abraham (Abe) 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
207 GUINAN Joseph 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
208 KIM Ethan J. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
208 DAVIS Matthew D. 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
210 PAEK Alex J. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
211 WALTHER Bryan M. 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
211 DAROIAN Emon - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
213 SHAH S Ayush - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
214 STOREY Joseph P. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
215 FARQUHARSON Cole 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
216 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
217 ATANAS Matthew M. 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
218 VOZOVIK Zakhar 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
219 YOUNG Colton W. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
220 CHO Tyler H. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
221 TIERNEY Luke 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
222 ZAFFT Maximo S. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
223 RHYU Kozmo 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
224 RUSSANOV Boris J. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
225 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
225 LIU John 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
225 MUGA Boris 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
228 SHIN Joshua - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
229 SOOMRO Adam A. 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
229 ROBINSON Riley 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
231 YAO Shun 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
232 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
232 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
234 COMBS Colson 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
235 MOSES Alexander 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
236 KELSEY Ryan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
237 SUVOROV Yuly 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
238 BORATIN Daniel I. 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
238 NESTEROV Andrew E. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
240 BAKER Jefferson G. 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
240 WOZNIAK Sebastian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
242 AMELI Sean - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
243 GANA Jr Jorge M. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
244 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
245 CAPELLUA Tommaso 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
246 KAJI Ty 16% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
247 LAFVING Brandon 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
248 KEHOE James E. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
249 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
250 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
251 MORSE Tyler 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
251 LEE Daniel Y. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
253 XIAN Riley 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
254 DAO Matthew M. 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
255 CULLEN Daniel F. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.