Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
2 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
3 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
3 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
5 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
6 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
7 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 4%
8 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
9 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
10 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
11 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
12 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
13 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
14 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 85% 42% 3%
15 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
16 JOSEPH Dominic 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
17 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
18 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 11%
19 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
20 CHIN Julian S. 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
21 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
22 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 78% 38%
23 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
24 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 12%
25 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 31%
26 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
27 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
28 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 1% -
29 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
30 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
31 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
33 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 3%
34 CHAN Tyler 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
35 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
36 BAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
37 YU Jonathan J. 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
38 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
39 ZHAO Jesse 100% 97% 75% 30% 5% -
40 GEOGHEGAN Ronan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
41 GOOR Julian 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
42 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% - -
43 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
44 SURINGA William J. 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% -
45 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 99% 76% 31% 6% -
46 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 95% 62% 13% -
46 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 5%
48 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
49 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 12% 1%
50 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
51 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
52 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
53 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
54 PAE Brian L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
55 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
56 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
57 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 79% 28% 5% - -
58 SCHLOSSNAGLE Christopher 100% 65% 14% 1% - -
59 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 87% 18% 1% - -
60 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
61 LONG Connor M. 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
62 DRESSEL Jet 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
63 FOTENOS Noah T. 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
63 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5%
65 LIU Eric Y. 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
66 GUO Sean 100% 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1%
67 TORRES Treston 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
68 GAO William 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
69 BROWN Cullen 100% 33% 4% - - - -
70 REEVES Liam 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
71 WANG Jackson 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
72 BADLANI Dev 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
73 JI Aidan Y. 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
74 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
75 QIU Daniel 100% 88% 35% 5% - - -
76 SOLDATOV Faddey 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
77 HUGHES Evan J. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
78 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
79 DEGER Grant W. 100% 79% 35% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.