Event Results

Div I Elite Men's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Friday, October 9, 2026 at 8:00 AM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
125 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. V V V V D D V V V V V V V 4.6 4 -0.6
2 LIVERANT Skyler J. D V V V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 SENNEWALD James J. D V V V D V V V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
3 BEZRODNOV Alexander D V V V V D V V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
5 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. V V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
6 SHAN Simon V D V V V D V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
7 ZHENG Andy D V D V V V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
8 CARRIER Gabriel A. V V D V V D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
9 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) V V V D V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
9 KNYSH Oleg V D V V V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
11 NORTH Gary S. V V V D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
12 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) D V V D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
13 EWART Jr. Stephen P. D V V V V D V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
14 WEISS Miles J. V V D V D D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
15 HILBERT Xavier V D V D D V V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
16 BORISENKO Samuel V V D D D D V V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
17 SZAPARY Tristan B. V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
18 YOO Justin V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
19 FEINBERG Gabriel M. V V V D V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
20 SHAMEL Youssef V V V D V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
21 LIOZNYANSKY Simon V V V V V D V D 4.5 5 +0.5
22 ROBINSON Samuel V V V D V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
23 KANG Philip F. V V V V V D V D 3.6 5 +1.4
24 GRIFFITHS Ryan V V V D V V V D 5.0 5 -
25 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. V V V V D V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
26 IMREK Elijah S. D V V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
27 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA V D V V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
28 LAI Boden V V D D D V V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
28 BEZRODNOV Michael D D V V V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
30 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) V D D V V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
31 STRONG Sean T. V V V D D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
32 BOUDREAUX James V D V D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
33 ROGAK Benjamin A. V V V V V V D 2.8 6 +3.2
34 CANDELA Nicholas V V V V V V D 4.1 6 +1.9
35 CHIRASHNYA Daniel V V V V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
36 KNOX James V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
37 DIECK Logan O. V V V V V D D 3.1 5 +1.9
38 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan V V V V D V D 2.4 5 +2.6
39 DAVOODIAN Christopher V D V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
40 SU Caleb V V D V V D D 2.9 4 +1.1
41 HENSAL Nicolas A. D D V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
42 BRISLAWN Reilly R. D V V V V D D 3.5 4 +0.5
43 MAISONET-GUZMAN Hector E. D V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
44 RUBIN Daniel V V D V V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
45 CHONG christopher V D D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
46 ELHUSSEINI Kyle V V V D D V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
47 WANG Joey V V V D D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
48 GINZBURG Adam V D D V V V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
48 DONG Haiyi(Leo) V V D V D V V D 1.8 4 +2.2
50 XIAO Shawn V D V D D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
51 DODIN David D V D D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
52 LANGE Henry C. D D D V V V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
53 TABLEMAN Doug S. D V V V D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
54 DOYON - VERDON William D V V D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
55 IVE Isaac L. V V V D D D V D 4.2 3 -1.2
56 MITEV Alexander V D V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
57 KUSHNERIK Ethan V D V D D V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
58 FAN Jackson V D D V D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
59 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. D D V V D V D 3.7 2 -1.7
60 ATKINS Levi H. V D D D V D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
61 YUE Hongrui V D D D V D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
62 TAFOYA Devin D. D V D D D V V D 4.0 2 -2.0
63 ZIEGLER John V D V D D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
64 KIM Gene D D D D V V V D 1.2 2 +0.8
65 NORMILE Nicholas V V D V D V D 2.6 4 +1.4
66 SVERDLOV Seth D D V V V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
67 CHOI Zachary V D D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
68 GAO Daniel D V V V V D D 3.8 4 +0.2
69 BARG Jonathan V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
70 LU Jacob V D V V D V D 1.7 4 +2.3
71 FU Leon V V V D D D D 2.9 3 +0.1
72 FRAY Alexander V D D D V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
72 LO Jake V D D V V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
74 ESKRIDGE Caleb D D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
74 ROUBAILO Niels D V D V V D D 3.6 3 -0.6
76 XIA Dashan D D D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
77 TAI Edison V D D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
78 CLICK Aiden V V D D D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
79 EMARA Omar D V D V V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
80 SODERBERG Alex Z. V V D D D V 3.3 3 -0.3
81 BRODSKY Julian V D D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
82 LIU Andy D V V D D V D 0.6 3 +2.4
83 SINGLETON Aman D D V V V D D 1.4 3 +1.6
84 HU Robert J. V D V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
85 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. D V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
86 RIGGINS Joshua V D D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
87 HU Lucas D D V V D D D 2.0 2 -
88 ALIMOV fayzulla D D D V V D D 4.1 2 -2.1
89 HAMZA Tudor D V V D D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
90 PARK Sangwook D V V D D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
91 MAO Benjamin V D D D D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
92 LEE Aiden D D D V V D D 1.1 2 +0.9
93 SPIER Julian H. D V D V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
93 SONG Troy D D D V V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
95 SANDERS Ian W. D D D V D V D 4.1 2 -2.1
96 ROSE-JONES Simon V D D D D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
96 MCDANIELS Jeremy D V V D D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
98 MOORE Shomari A. D V D D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
98 HILBERT Gabriel E. D D V D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
100 KIM Benjamin I. V D D D V D D 3.3 2 -1.3
100 LIOZNYANSKY Miron D D D D V V D 1.0 2 +1.0
102 ELHUSSEINI Dylan D D D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
103 HONDOR Robert D. D D V D D V 3.4 2 -1.4
104 TSE Maxwell D D D D D V 1.9 1 -0.9
105 KHAYAT Ziad N. D D D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
106 MILLER Jeffrey E. D D V D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
107 PARKER Isaiah D D D D V D 1.0 1 -
108 HUANG Kenneth D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
109 MANN Jake R. D D D V D D 2.9 1 -1.9
110 DHAL Leon D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
110 WANG justin V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
112 SENNEWALD Frederick A. D D D D D V 2.3 1 -1.3
113 ROMANOV Ethan D D V D D D 2.5 1 -1.5
114 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco V D D D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
115 IYOKI Kent D V D D D D 4.1 1 -3.1
116 KAULL James T. D D V D D D 4.2 1 -3.2
117 WU Jonathan V D D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
118 KUGLER Luke D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
119 CLICK Tristan D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
120 YAO Geoffrey B. D D D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
121 THAYER Jake T. D D D D D 2.3 0 -2.3
122 MANDOKI Sandor I. D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
123 ERLIKHMAN Adrian D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
124 MEHROTRA Neel D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
125 WOLFE Alex D D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%