Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Aiden - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
2 WIMMER Chandler M. - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
3 LIU John - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
3 LEE Daniel Y. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
5 STEVENS Daniel - 1% 12% 38% 39% 9%
6 JIN Alexander - - 8% 38% 47% 7%
7 JIN Owen - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
8 VALES Keyan 16% 44% 31% 8% 1%
9 CHONG christopher - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
10 WOZNIAK Ignacy - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
11 PARK Ian C. - 5% 24% 46% 25%
12 RHYU Kozmo - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
13 IVAKIMOV Vasil - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
14 JEYOON Ryan S. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
15 CHEN Eric - 3% 19% 42% 29% 6%
16 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
17 BEACH Nicholas - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
18 LEE Timothy S. - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
19 SPIER Julian H. - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
20 DOLMETSCH Max - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
21 PARK Frederick 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
22 HENSAL Nicolas A. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
23 WANG Tristan 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
24 KROPP Jack - - 6% 28% 44% 21%
25 WU Joseph - 4% 21% 46% 29%
26 LI Benjamin 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
27 TREBON Hayden 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
28 MURPHY Thomas P. - 12% 52% 31% 5% -
29 LEE Shwan - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
30 LURVEY Samuel 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
31 CRANE Matthew T. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
32 CHAWLA Armaan - 3% 21% 43% 28% 5%
33 HADDAD Justin R. - - - 2% 22% 76%
34 KUCZAJDA Matthew - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
35 HORTELANO Ethan - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
36 JUNG Minche 2% 22% 42% 27% 7% -
37 KING Cameron 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
38 SHIV Rishi - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
39 O'HARA Keegan J. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
40 SCHULZE Ethan 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
41 MORSE Tyler - 1% 19% 50% 27% 2%
41 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
41 XIA Oliver 6% 66% 26% 3% - -
44 GOLDER Will W. 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 4%
45 KIM Ryan 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
46 PARNAS Ely 1% 12% 41% 34% 10% 1%
47 ROTHKA Spencer J. 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
47 SINGH Aryaman 7% 35% 41% 15% 2% -
49 WU Jonathan 6% 34% 42% 16% 2% -
49 GAO Daniel - 4% 22% 44% 26% 5%
51 SURINGA William J. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
52 JOSEPH William 4% 24% 44% 24% 4%
53 BANNEN Nicholas 42% 43% 14% 2% -
54 PARK Brian 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
55 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 6% 32% 43% 17% 3% -
55 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
57 USDIN Anton 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% -
58 BLUM Oliver 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
59 ZHANG Caden 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
60 LEE JoonWon 36% 49% 14% 1% - -
61 METZLER Calder 62% 31% 6% - - -
62 BERNARD Jack B. 44% 47% 8% - - -
63 LIN Harrison 35% 42% 18% 4% - -
64 GOLDMAN Isaac 91% 9% - - - -
65 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
66 LAM Bill 35% 48% 15% 2% - -
67 WHITEHURST JJ 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
68 FU Ethan 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
69 MILLER Kurt 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
70 JEON Hwidong 16% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
71 ZHANG Andy 44% 43% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.