Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 19, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
2 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 LIU John 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
3 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
5 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 9%
6 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 92% 54% 7%
7 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
8 VALES Keyan 100% 84% 40% 8% 1%
9 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
10 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
11 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
12 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
13 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
14 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
15 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
16 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
17 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
18 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
19 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
20 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
21 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
22 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
23 WANG Tristan 100% 98% 80% 44% 12% 1%
24 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
25 WU Joseph 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
26 LI Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
27 TREBON Hayden 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
28 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 88% 36% 5% -
29 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
30 LURVEY Samuel 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
31 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
32 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 5%
33 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
34 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 9%
35 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
36 JUNG Minche 100% 98% 76% 34% 7% -
37 KING Cameron 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
38 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
39 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
40 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
41 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 80% 30% 2%
41 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
41 XIA Oliver 100% 94% 29% 3% - -
44 GOLDER Will W. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
45 KIM Ryan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
46 PARNAS Ely 100% 99% 87% 46% 11% 1%
47 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
47 SINGH Aryaman 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -
49 WU Jonathan 100% 94% 60% 18% 2% -
49 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 5%
51 SURINGA William J. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
52 JOSEPH William 100% 96% 72% 28% 4%
53 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 58% 15% 2% -
54 PARK Brian 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
55 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 100% 94% 62% 20% 3% -
55 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
57 USDIN Anton 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
58 BLUM Oliver 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
59 ZHANG Caden 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
60 LEE JoonWon 100% 64% 15% 1% - -
61 METZLER Calder 100% 38% 6% - - -
62 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 56% 9% - - -
63 LIN Harrison 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
64 GOLDMAN Isaac 100% 9% - - - -
65 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
66 LAM Bill 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
67 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
68 FU Ethan 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
69 MILLER Kurt 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
70 JEON Hwidong 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
71 ZHANG Andy 100% 56% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.