American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
5 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
7 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
9 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
10 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
11 WU Joseph 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
12 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
13 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
14 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
15 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
16 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
17 SHEN Max 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
18 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
19 ZHAO Luhan 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
20 PARK Frederick 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
21 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
23 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
24 KOKENGE Reid 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
25 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
26 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
27 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
28 LAI Coby 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
29 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
30 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
31 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
32 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
33 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
34 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
35 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
36 CAO Albert 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
37 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
38 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
39 KING Cameron 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
40 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
41 DOTSON Gus 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
42 WU Jonathan 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
43 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 30% 4% < 1% - - -
44 JOSEPH William 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
45 KIM Aaron J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
46 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
47 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
48 LIU John 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
49 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
50 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
51 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
52 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
53 HERMANSON David B. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
53 JENNINGS Adin 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
55 HE Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
56 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
57 WANG Eric S 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
58 SERAFIN Ben 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
59 LI Jeffrey 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
60 BLUM Oliver 100% 97% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
61 MILLER Kurt 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
62 KUMAR Aidan 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
63 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
64 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
65 CHOE Andrew 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
66 HU Robert J. 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
66 ZHANG ethan 100% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.