December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Thursday, December 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEPSTEAD Marcus 1% 13% 48% 31% 7% -
2 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 KELLY William J. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 1% 13% 86%
6 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
7 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
8 DANIEL Ashton - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
9 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
10 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - 3% 24% 74%
11 HASSAN Mohamed H. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
12 MATHIEU Adam - - - - 2% 22% 76%
13 MACHOVEC Andrew C. - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
14 YANG Luao - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
15 KASI Sanjay - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
16 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
17 ARCHER Kristjan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
18 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
19 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
20 VAN HAASTER Maximilien H. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
21 CERVANTES Diego 1% 11% 33% 38% 16% 2%
22 HOOSHI Dylan M. 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
23 CHEN Earnest P. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
24 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
25 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 18%
26 CHEN James P. - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
27 OURSLER Jack - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
28 GRIFFIN John O. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
29 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 7%
30 SHAFAIE Kaveh 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
31 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
32 YU Eric W. - - 1% 10% 31% 43% 15%
33 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
34 CHEN Andrew - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
35 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
36 BOURTIS James S. - - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
36 LEVY Jacob M. - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 3%
38 XIAO Enoch A. - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
39 KUMBLA Samarth - 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
40 CHEN Ziyuan - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
41 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
42 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
43 MITCHELL Philip D. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
44 BURKE Spencer W. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1%
44 UM Ethan A. - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
46 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 1% 9% 31% 38% 17% 2%
47 IVERSON Shane D. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
48 HOLMES Stuart S. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
49 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
50 KWON Ethan - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
51 HAY Gavin - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
52 SHIN Philip D. - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
53 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 6%
54 LI Jiaan - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
55 KIM Brandon J. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
56 KAISER Hans Z. - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
57 SONG Aiden S. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
58 ZHAI Jeffrey 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
59 BRUK Peter J. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
60 DAI Jonathan T. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
61 AHN Jun 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
62 AYUPOV Ilya - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
63 KLOSTERMANN Max 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
64 REALS Alden D. - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
65 LO Conrad - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
66 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
67 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 1% 8% 32% 46% 14%
68 CHEN Allen - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
69 WONG Adam L. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 4%
70 ZHANG Henry C. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
71 MCCORD Clark 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
72 LIU Patrick - - 5% 29% 45% 20%
73 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 4% 25% 44% 24% 2%
74 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
75 SINGH Dayaal - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
76 DUDEY Michael - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 10%
77 KO Brian J. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
78 PARK Luke J. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
78 MURUHIN Yaroslav 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
80 SHIH William 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
81 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
82 BOBROW Logan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
83 ZHANG Yun Isaac 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
84 LU Yikai 5% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
85 ZHANG Andy W. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
86 XIAO EDWARD 7% 34% 43% 14% 2% -
87 STANLEY Mason B. - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
88 WU Nicholas 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
89 XIAO Ethan J. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
90 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
90 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16% 2%
92 LIN Dashiell 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
92 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
94 JANG Jaewon - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
95 BING Charles 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2% -
96 BAS Liam 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
97 LIN Richard W. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 18% 2%
98 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
98 LI Owen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
100 BERMENDER Cameron 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
101 ZHAO Jason L. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
102 HUTH Jacob 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
103 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
104 MAGIDSON Gabriel 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
105 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
106 SONG Leonardo T. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
107 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien - 3% 18% 39% 33% 6%
108 GOOR Julian 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
109 BANERJEE ANUP - 3% 22% 44% 28% 3%
110 FUKUDA Alessio R. 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
111 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 1%
112 VOGLER Justin K. - 1% 9% 36% 41% 13%
113 DEGROOT Blake 13% 50% 30% 6% - -
114 ROJAS Jorge - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
115 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
116 ARIZA Isaac A. 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
117 YU Vinni - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
117 LI Edward 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
119 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 9%
119 HOOSHI Jayden C. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
121 CHENG Nathan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
122 GRIFFITH JACK - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
122 TANG Owen S. 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
124 HUTH Mitchell - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
125 GODZHIK Zachary 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
126 WYMAN Julian 14% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
127 SADOVSKY Leor B. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
128 ZOBEL Eric H. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
129 LAURICELLA Douglas 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
130 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
131 LUH Ethan K. 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
132 PELOSKY Zack B. 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
133 PADUA Carlos M. - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
134 JEON Caleb A. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
135 DIVITO Dylan - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
135 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - 1% 10% 32% 37% 16% 2%
137 GERVAIS Joel 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
138 PYO Michael M. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
139 DAVIS Christopher M. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
140 KNIZHNIK David 38% 45% 15% 2% - - -
141 SCHENCK Koen M. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
142 ROUNTREE Rob 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
143 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
144 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 10% 36% 38% 14% 1%
145 WELCH Kyle J. - 3% 16% 38% 35% 9%
146 BELLUOMO David C. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
146 WU Jerry Z. 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
148 LI Raphael C. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
149 GAO William 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
150 FUKUDA Renzo K. 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
150 GONG Benjamin 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
152 WAN Jason 1% 12% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
153 KIM Yonjae 1% 11% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
154 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
155 FLANAGAN James 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
156 FORTUNE Alexander J. 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
157 CHEN-LI David C. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
158 JIANG Owen 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
159 LI Richard - 5% 19% 34% 30% 12% 1%
160 OH Samuel H. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
161 SHAFAIE Ali - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
162 REZNICK Nicholas J. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
163 CARTER Lucas M. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
164 UPTON Craig 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
165 BERK Theodore 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
166 VAZQUEZ Zander 10% 34% 38% 15% 2% - -
167 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
168 WU Alexander 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
169 DICKSON Farr R. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
170 RUSADZE Nickolas 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
171 WONG Garrick G. 27% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
172 HOBSON Aaron K. 14% 45% 34% 7% - -
173 SICHITIU Alexander 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
174 SHA Yi Peng 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
175 CHENG Matthew S. 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
176 KUZMAK Michael J. 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
177 CURLEY Sebastian D. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
178 DIERKS Kian 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
179 BAE Kevin 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
180 DOBBINS Evan W. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
181 BAE Junnie 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
182 ZHENG Alan H. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
183 LIN Michael 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
184 BUERGIN Aidan 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
185 GARLINGTON David - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
186 TSAY Jeremy M. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
187 CHAN Matthew 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
187 KEE Andrew L. 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
189 OH SEAN 7% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
189 MORAIS Paulo - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
191 WU Jerry 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
192 JOSEPH Willem 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
193 STREB JR. Joseph T. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
194 TAN Christien 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
195 LEWIS Paul D. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
196 BARTEL Jacob L. 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
197 WOO Christian 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
198 LI Eric 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
199 DESHMUKH Ayush 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
199 LI Matthew 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
201 QUINONES Diego A. 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
202 LEE Aidan 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
203 PRASANNA Advaith 63% 31% 6% - - -
204 WILLIAMS Connor J. 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
205 PALMA Matthew Dominic 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
206 WANG Michael 23% 47% 24% 5% - - -
207 SHEPHERD Conner M. 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
208 LOVIN Vlad 41% 42% 14% 2% - -
209 SANTOS Carlos R. 63% 32% 4% - - -
210 WECHSLER Jacob 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
210 DU Samuel R. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
210 STRUGAR Marcus A. 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
213 KAO Castor T. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
214 SEAL Maximus R. 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
215 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.