December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Thursday, December 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEPSTEAD Marcus 100% 99% 86% 38% 7% -
2 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
6 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
8 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
10 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
11 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
13 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
14 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
15 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
16 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
17 ARCHER Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
18 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
19 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
20 VAN HAASTER Maximilien H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
21 CERVANTES Diego 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
22 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
23 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
24 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
25 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 18%
26 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
27 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
28 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
29 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
30 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
31 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
32 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 15%
33 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
34 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
35 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
36 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
36 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
38 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
39 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
40 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
41 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 99% 83% 48% 15% 2%
42 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 15%
43 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
44 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
44 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
46 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
47 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
48 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
49 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
50 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
51 HAY Gavin 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 2%
52 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
53 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
54 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% -
55 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
56 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 4%
57 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
58 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
59 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
60 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
61 AHN Jun 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
62 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
63 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
64 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
65 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
66 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
67 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
68 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
69 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
70 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
71 MCCORD Clark 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
72 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
73 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 2%
74 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
75 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
76 DUDEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
77 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
78 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
78 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
80 SHIH William 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
81 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
82 BOBROW Logan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
83 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
84 LU Yikai 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
85 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
86 XIAO EDWARD 100% 93% 59% 16% 2% -
87 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
88 WU Nicholas 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
89 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
90 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
90 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% 2%
92 LIN Dashiell 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
92 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18% 1%
94 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
95 BING Charles 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
96 BAS Liam 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
97 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 2%
98 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
98 LI Owen 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
100 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
101 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
102 HUTH Jacob 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
103 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
104 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
105 TAN Lawrence (Lance) E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
106 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
107 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
108 GOOR Julian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
109 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 3%
110 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
111 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
112 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
113 DEGROOT Blake 100% 87% 37% 7% - -
114 ROJAS Jorge 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
115 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 88% 61% 25% 5% -
116 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
117 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
117 LI Edward 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
119 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
119 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
121 CHENG Nathan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
122 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
122 TANG Owen S. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
124 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
125 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
126 WYMAN Julian 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
127 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
128 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15% 1%
129 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
130 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
131 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 78% 38% 8% 1% -
132 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
133 PADUA Carlos M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
134 JEON Caleb A. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
135 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
135 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
137 GERVAIS Joel 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
138 PYO Michael M. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
139 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
140 KNIZHNIK David 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
141 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
142 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
143 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
144 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
145 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
146 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
146 WU Jerry Z. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
148 LI Raphael C. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
149 GAO William 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
150 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
150 GONG Benjamin 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
152 WAN Jason 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
153 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
154 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
155 FLANAGAN James 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
156 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
157 CHEN-LI David C. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
158 JIANG Owen 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
159 LI Richard 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
160 OH Samuel H. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
161 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
162 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
163 CARTER Lucas M. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
164 UPTON Craig 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
165 BERK Theodore 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
166 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 90% 56% 17% 3% - -
167 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
168 WU Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
169 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
170 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
171 WONG Garrick G. 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
172 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 86% 41% 7% - -
173 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
174 SHA Yi Peng 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
175 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1%
176 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
177 CURLEY Sebastian D. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
178 DIERKS Kian 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
179 BAE Kevin 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
180 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
181 BAE Junnie 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
182 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
183 LIN Michael 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
184 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
185 GARLINGTON David 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
186 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
187 CHAN Matthew 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
187 KEE Andrew L. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
189 OH SEAN 100% 93% 57% 18% 2% - -
189 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 2%
191 WU Jerry 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
192 JOSEPH Willem 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
193 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
194 TAN Christien 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
195 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
196 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
197 WOO Christian 100% 75% 31% 6% - - -
198 LI Eric 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
199 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
199 LI Matthew 100% 48% 12% 1% - - -
201 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
202 LEE Aidan 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
203 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 37% 6% 1% - -
204 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
205 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
206 WANG Michael 100% 77% 30% 6% - - -
207 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
208 LOVIN Vlad 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
209 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 37% 5% - - -
210 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
210 DU Samuel R. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
210 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
213 KAO Castor T. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
214 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
215 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.