July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, July 25, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
2 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 LI Brandon H. - - - - 5% 31% 64%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
5 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 2% 21% 76%
6 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
7 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 6% 27% 42% 22% 3%
8 CHEN James P. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
9 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
10 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
11 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
12 KUMBLA Samarth - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
13 YU Vinni - - 2% 16% 44% 39%
14 OURSLER Jack - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
15 HUTH Mitchell - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
16 KIM Nicholas W. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
17 XIAO Ethan J. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
18 BAS Liam - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
19 KASI Sanjay - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
19 LEVY Jacob M. - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
19 KO Brian J. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
22 ZHENG Alan H. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
23 LIN Richard W. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
24 CHEN Andrew - - 3% 16% 42% 34% 4%
25 KWON Ethan - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
26 YU Eric W. - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
27 DICKSON Farr R. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
28 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 4% 25% 46% 25%
28 UM Ethan A. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
30 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
31 GOOR Julian - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
32 MITCHELL Philip D. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
33 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
34 VOGLER Justin K. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
35 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - 3% 18% 45% 33%
35 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - - 2% 29% 69%
37 TSANG Matthew K. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
38 HOOSHI Dylan M. 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
39 LIU Justin - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
40 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
41 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
42 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
43 LIU Patrick - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
44 WU Alexander - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
45 LIMA Kevin M. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 9%
45 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
47 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
48 KIM Brandon J. - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
49 LI Richard - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
50 DANKAR Neel 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
51 ZHAI Jeffrey 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
52 CHENG Matthew S. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
53 STANLEY Mason B. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
54 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 5% 21% 38% 30% 7%
55 BURKE Spencer W. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
56 JANG Jaewon - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
57 SINGH Dayaal - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
58 CHEN Allen - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
59 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
60 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
61 ZHAO Jason L. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
62 LIN Dashiell - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
63 EUSCHER Alex M. - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
64 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
65 MORAIS Paulo - 1% 8% 35% 42% 14%
66 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 3% 20% 60% 18%
67 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
68 PARK Luke J. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
69 WU Jerry Z. 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
70 KELLY William J. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
70 DIERKS Kian 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
72 RUSADZE Nickolas 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
73 LIU Niles J. - - 5% 28% 46% 21%
74 OH Jonathan 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
75 WONG Adam L. - 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
76 LI Raphael C. - 2% 17% 41% 33% 8%
77 STRUGAR Marcus A. 4% 18% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
78 FUKUDA Renzo K. - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
78 LAO Scott E. - 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
80 ONIK Elijah T. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 28% 3%
81 LI Jiaan - 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
82 FUKUDA Alessio R. - 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
83 KORKMAZ Alp Tuna - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
84 GIRALDO Pablo E. - - 4% 21% 44% 28% 3%
84 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
86 YU Anders - 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
87 YI Stephen K. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
88 DING Jonathan - 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
89 GRANT Lachlan K. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15% 1%
90 WU Nicholas - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
91 MURRAY Maximo - 6% 32% 38% 19% 4% -
92 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 8% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
93 HSIUNG Richie 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
94 DAVIS Christopher M. 2% 17% 44% 30% 7% 1%
95 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
95 CHIN Jason Y. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
97 BAE Junnie - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
98 BANERJEE ANUP - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
99 AYUPOV Ilya - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
100 LUH Ethan K. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
101 ZENG Lucas H. - - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
102 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
103 GRIFFITH JACK - - 4% 16% 35% 35% 11%
103 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
105 HOBSON Aaron K. 2% 17% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
106 CHENG Jonathan 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
107 DARIANO Noah G. 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
108 BING Charles 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
109 LI Simon A. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
110 GONG Benjamin 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
111 LI Owen 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
112 CHENG Nathan 11% 48% 31% 8% 1% - -
113 LO Conrad - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
114 BAE Kevin 5% 28% 47% 18% 2% -
115 ZHANG Luke T. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
116 WU Alexander - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
117 JAIN Aditya 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
118 PAEK Alex J. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
119 KAO Castor T. - 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
119 OTAKE Jared K. - 2% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
121 GAO William 7% 29% 38% 21% 4% - -
122 KIM Yonjae - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
123 DAI Jonathan T. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
124 LEE Aidan 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
125 OH Samuel H. - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
126 CHIN Julian S. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
127 KIM Aaron J. 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
128 SONG Leonardo T. 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
129 GOLDADE Luke A. 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
130 SICHITIU Alexander 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
131 LEE Chris 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
132 BRUK Peter J. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
133 YANG Luao - - 3% 19% 41% 32% 5%
134 JEON Caleb A. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
135 WYMAN Julian 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
136 GRISWOLD Abel B. 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
137 NAGER Noah 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
138 KIM Andrew J. 5% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
139 GODZHIK Zachary 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
140 TAN Christien 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
141 DIVITO Dylan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
142 EVGENEV Mark 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
143 WESTPHAL David R. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
144 SHA Yi Peng 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
145 TSAY Jeremy M. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
146 VAZQUEZ Zander 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 2% -
147 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
148 JIANG Owen 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
148 PALMA Matthew Dominic 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
150 WU Conrad J. 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1% -
151 PATINO Yahir 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
152 TAN Peter 24% 50% 23% 4% - - -
153 SHERMAN Marco J. 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
153 KIM Banseok J. 20% 48% 26% 5% - - -
155 SADOVSKY Leor B. 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
156 ZHANG Jiening G. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
157 DOCTOR Aidan L. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
158 XIAO EDWARD 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
159 TANG Owen S. 16% 52% 26% 5% - -
160 WANG Ethan 38% 46% 14% 2% - -
161 ZHENG zhe 28% 49% 20% 3% - -
162 CAI Jason Zhicheng 18% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
163 ELKOUSY Laith H. 30% 49% 19% 2% - -
164 THAI William - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
165 HODESS Ethan 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
166 ZHOU Oscar J. 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
167 FU Samuel Y. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
167 DINSAY Kristjan 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
169 KIM Jackson 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
170 WONG Adrian 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
171 FORTUNE Alexander J. 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
172 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
172 LIN Michael 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
174 GATZA Logan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
174 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
176 MILLER Duncan R. 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
176 PO Oliver 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
176 GOGOI Vir K. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
176 JI Aidan Y. 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
180 JORDON Kaleb W. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
181 NAM Michael 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
182 BERNABE Rafael 65% 31% 4% - - - -
183 LI Avery Peihong 9% 58% 27% 5% - - -
184 OH Jaden 51% 40% 8% 1% - - -
185 LE Jacob W. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
186 WILLIAMS Connor J. 35% 47% 16% 1% - -
187 REYES Omar 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
188 HAN Andersen Y. 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
188 VALOUEV Aleksey 60% 34% 5% - - -
190 SEAL Maximus R. 45% 42% 11% 1% - - -
191 BERK Theodore 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
192 NGUYEN William 80% 19% 1% - - - -
193 KIM Isaiah G. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
193 UPTON Craig 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
195 UZGIRIS Kovas 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
195 BAEK David 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
195 LIM Charles Q. 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
198 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
199 LI Ryan Z. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
200 GALLUCCI Charles John 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
201 HSIAO Nicholas 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
202 ZHEN Ethan 11% 46% 33% 9% 1% - -
202 MILLER Chance 67% 29% 4% - - - -
204 CHUANG Kian J. 21% 50% 24% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.