July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, July 25, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
2 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
6 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
7 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 3%
8 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
9 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
10 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
11 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
12 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
13 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
14 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
15 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
16 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 15%
17 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
18 BAS Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16%
19 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
19 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
22 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 2%
23 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
24 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
25 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
26 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
27 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
28 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
28 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
30 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
31 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 11% 1%
32 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
33 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
34 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
35 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
35 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69%
37 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
38 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
39 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
40 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
41 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
42 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
43 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
44 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
45 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
45 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
47 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
48 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
49 LI Richard 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
50 DANKAR Neel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
51 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
52 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
53 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
54 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
55 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
56 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
57 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
58 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
59 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
60 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
61 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
62 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
63 EUSCHER Alex M. 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
64 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 4%
65 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
66 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 18%
67 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
68 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
69 WU Jerry Z. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
70 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
70 DIERKS Kian 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
72 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
73 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
74 OH Jonathan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
75 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 13%
76 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
77 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
78 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
78 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
80 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 3%
81 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
82 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
83 KORKMAZ Alp Tuna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
84 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30% 3%
84 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
86 YU Anders 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
87 YI Stephen K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
88 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
89 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
90 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
91 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
92 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% - -
93 HSIUNG Richie 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1% -
94 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 98% 81% 37% 8% 1%
95 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
95 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
97 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
98 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
99 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
100 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
101 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
102 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
103 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
103 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
105 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 98% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
106 CHENG Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
107 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
108 BING Charles 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
109 LI Simon A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
110 GONG Benjamin 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
111 LI Owen 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
112 CHENG Nathan 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
113 LO Conrad 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
114 BAE Kevin 100% 95% 67% 20% 3% -
115 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
116 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
117 JAIN Aditya 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
118 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
119 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
119 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
121 GAO William 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
122 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
123 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
124 LEE Aidan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
125 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
126 CHIN Julian S. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
127 KIM Aaron J. 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
128 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
129 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1% -
130 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
131 LEE Chris 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
132 BRUK Peter J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
133 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
134 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
135 WYMAN Julian 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
136 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 3% -
137 NAGER Noah 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
138 KIM Andrew J. 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
139 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
140 TAN Christien 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
141 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
142 EVGENEV Mark 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
143 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
144 SHA Yi Peng 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
145 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
146 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
147 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
148 JIANG Owen 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
148 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
150 WU Conrad J. 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
151 PATINO Yahir 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
152 TAN Peter 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
153 SHERMAN Marco J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
153 KIM Banseok J. 100% 80% 32% 6% - - -
155 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 94% 66% 28% 5% - -
156 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
157 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
158 XIAO EDWARD 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
159 TANG Owen S. 100% 84% 32% 6% - -
160 WANG Ethan 100% 62% 16% 2% - -
161 ZHENG zhe 100% 72% 23% 3% - -
162 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
163 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 70% 21% 2% - -
164 THAI William 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
165 HODESS Ethan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
166 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
167 FU Samuel Y. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
167 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
169 KIM Jackson 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
170 WONG Adrian 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
171 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
172 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
172 LIN Michael 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
174 GATZA Logan 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
174 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
176 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
176 PO Oliver 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
176 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
176 JI Aidan Y. 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
180 JORDON Kaleb W. 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1% -
181 NAM Michael 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
182 BERNABE Rafael 100% 35% 5% - - - -
183 LI Avery Peihong 100% 91% 32% 5% - - -
184 OH Jaden 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
185 LE Jacob W. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
186 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 65% 18% 1% - -
187 REYES Omar 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
188 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
188 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 40% 5% - - -
190 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
191 BERK Theodore 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
192 NGUYEN William 100% 20% 1% - - - -
193 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
193 UPTON Craig 100% 77% 37% 9% 1% - -
195 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
195 BAEK David 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
195 LIM Charles Q. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
198 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
199 LI Ryan Z. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
200 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
201 HSIAO Nicholas 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
202 ZHEN Ethan 100% 89% 43% 10% 1% - -
202 MILLER Chance 100% 33% 4% - - - -
204 CHUANG Kian J. 100% 79% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.