Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
3 PARK Ian C. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
3 GAO Daniel - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 SU Caleb - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
6 DESTEFANO Julius - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
7 NIKOLOV Peter - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
8 TREBON Hayden - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
9 CHAI Jonathan - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
10 KOKENGE Reid - - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
11 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
12 CAO Albert - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
13 LEE Seungwon - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
14 DODIN David - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
15 LEE Samuel Y. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
16 ZHANG Caden 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
17 KHANNA Nikhil - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
18 CLICK Aiden - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
19 COUSINS Cameron 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
20 TIRADO Giancarlo - 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
21 LEE JoonWon - 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
22 KWOUN Miles S. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
23 JORDAN Anton - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 ZENG Zihan - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
25 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 4% 17% 38% 33% 8%
26 CHOI Aleksey - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
27 SILVERS Ari - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
28 USDIN Anton - - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
28 KUMAR Aidan - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
30 SCHULZE Ethan - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
31 JONES Tyler - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
32 SINGH Aryaman - 2% 13% 37% 34% 12% 1%
33 ABBOUD Michael - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
34 KIM Dylan J. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
35 WANG Trontour 1% 16% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
36 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
37 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
38 LOISEAU Eliott 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
39 DUAN eric 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
40 WU Jonathan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
41 KARNAS Karol - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
42 SNYDER Ari 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
43 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
44 LE BORGNE Matthieu 2% 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
45 CHAMBLISS Logan C. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
46 HU Anton 2% 19% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
47 ILYAS Zakariya - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
48 BERNARD Jack B. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
49 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 1% 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
50 WEI Michael 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
51 JONES Colin 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
52 MAROCHNIK Daniel 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
53 PAN Tristan 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
54 JANSSEN Louis-Philippe 30% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
55 KOYFMAN Benjamin 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
56 KIM Taeho 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
57 CHEMEZOV Trent 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
58 LIN Harrison 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
59 HU Robert J. 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
59 FISHMAN Rahm 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
61 CHEN Brian 11% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
62 DAN Rex 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
63 LAM Alan 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
64 TRIPATHY Ayush 71% 26% 3% - - - -
65 WOLFE Alex - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
66 YU Austin 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
67 AMOLSCH Dylan 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
68 MEGGERS Davin 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
69 ZHANG Andy 1% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
70 SINGH Ravin 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
71 BRUNDAGE Nevan 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
72 CHENG Bingyi 8% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
73 PAN Anthony 50% 41% 8% 1% - - -
73 LEE HUSEUNG 77% 21% 2% - - - -
75 LI Zachary 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
76 PAL Ian K. 20% 49% 26% 5% - - -
77 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 24% 47% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.