Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
3 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
3 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
6 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
7 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
8 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
9 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
10 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
11 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
13 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
14 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
15 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
16 ZHANG Caden 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
17 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
18 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
19 COUSINS Cameron 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
20 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 100% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
21 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
22 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 2%
23 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
24 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
25 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
26 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 3%
27 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
28 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
28 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
30 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
31 JONES Tyler 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
32 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
33 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
34 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
35 WANG Trontour 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
36 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
37 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 1%
38 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
39 DUAN eric 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
40 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
41 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
42 SNYDER Ari 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
43 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
44 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 98% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
45 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
46 HU Anton 100% 98% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
47 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
48 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
49 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
50 WEI Michael 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
51 JONES Colin 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
52 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
53 PAN Tristan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
54 JANSSEN Louis-Philippe 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
55 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
56 KIM Taeho 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
57 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
58 LIN Harrison 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
59 HU Robert J. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
59 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
61 CHEN Brian 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
62 DAN Rex 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
63 LAM Alan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
64 TRIPATHY Ayush 100% 29% 3% - - - -
65 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
66 YU Austin 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
67 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
68 MEGGERS Davin 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
69 ZHANG Andy 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
70 SINGH Ravin 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
71 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
72 CHENG Bingyi 100% 92% 48% 12% 2% - -
73 PAN Anthony 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
73 LEE HUSEUNG 100% 23% 2% - - - -
75 LI Zachary 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
76 PAL Ian K. 100% 80% 31% 5% - - -
77 SHIN SEUNGHYUN 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.