Battle of the Bay D1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JIN Nicholas - - - 3% 16% 36% 36% 8%
2 KIM Benjamin I. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 CAI Brian - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
3 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
5 JEON Alexander E. - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
7 EMARA Omar - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
8 ALLEN Graham - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
9 SHARMA Sanil - - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
10 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
11 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet - - - - 3% 23% 74%
11 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
13 KILUK Andrew - - 3% 15% 36% 32% 12% 1%
14 WONG Kevin 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
15 JAIN Sarthak - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
16 GARRETT Samuel - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
17 WONG Nicholas A. - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
18 WINTZ Paul K. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
19 LIU Andrew - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 2%
19 ZHENG Haoran - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
21 KARAUSKY Joshua C. - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
21 LIN Kyran - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
23 LOWE-THORPE Tyler - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
24 SMITH Justin C. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
25 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
26 WEAVER Neil - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9% -
27 WATT Darren 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
28 SIVAGAR Leo - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
29 ZHOU Stanley Q. - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
30 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
31 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
32 YAO Shun 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
33 COOPER Rowan - - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
34 DEKERMANJI Christopher - - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
35 BURLING Trenor 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% < 1% -
36 SARKAR Agniv 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
37 KIM Nathan 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
38 AHMED Saheer 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
39 WANG owen 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
40 SINHA Zaan 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
41 WANG Terry 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1% -
42 DIECK Logan O. - 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
43 HELGE James R. - - - 3% 21% 50% 25%
44 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
45 PARK Elliot - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
46 ALVAREZ Ian T. 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
47 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
48 LOMIO Nicholas A. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - - -
49 ZHANG Alec - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
50 BARNETT Devin 37% 45% 15% 2% - - -
51 SARKAR Anish 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
52 ROOD Alex - - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
53 LO Jake 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
54 HARGROVE Kai 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
55 WICKBOLDT Eric - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
56 LOFTUS Luca 4% 35% 40% 18% 4% - -
57 WELDON Benjamin - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
58 FU Leon - 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
59 KUO Elvin 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
60 PHUKAN Rohin - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% -
61 HOGE William P. 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
62 CHUNG Thomas - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
63 JONES Caleb - 3% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
64 BARAFF David 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
65 CHU Allan - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
66 LIU Felix 1% 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
67 CASTELLY Luke 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
68 HARGROVE Charles - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
69 MING Nathan 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
70 LEE Bryson 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
71 BHARGAV Siddharth 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
72 GOLDBERG Artie M. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
73 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
74 KNUDSEN Travis 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% - -
75 DAVIS Andrew - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
75 SIRBU Dan 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - - -
77 ZAYDMAN David M. 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
78 HUSSAIN Kamran - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
79 ULINICH Alexander 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
80 HAYDEN Sam E. 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
81 HILLSTROM Nathan 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
82 NICHOLSON Gabriel D. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
82 ZHANG Nathan 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
84 GU Aidan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
85 BERMENDER Eric 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
86 WIRZ Severin 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
87 PHILIPPINE Johan L. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
87 CHEN Bailey 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
89 WANG Steven 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% - -
90 SHA Michael 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% - -
91 KIM Sullivan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
92 OU wei 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
93 MARIANI Lou - < 1% 4% 21% 41% 30% 3%
94 KIM Darius H. 1% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
95 PRAKASH Hari 24% 46% 24% 6% 1% - -
96 LIU Noah 23% 54% 19% 3% - - -
97 SLOAN Ryan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
98 ZACHES Torrey - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
99 SMAY II Joseph E. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
99 YU Austin 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
99 YUEN Nathan 37% 45% 15% 2% - - -
102 BAGCHI Aritra 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
103 LIPTON Michael D. 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
103 TETALI Vishwanath 49% 40% 9% 1% - - -
105 SMITH Zane A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
106 BHARGAV Angad 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% - -
107 HEINS Dylan - 3% 12% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
108 CHERDAK jacob 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% - -
109 MILSTEIN Nikolas 31% 43% 21% 5% - - - -
110 WU Eric 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% - -
111 TONG Samuel 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
112 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% - -
113 LEONARDINI Barry M. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
113 BENNETT Peter 79% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.