Battle of the Bay D1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 5, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 8%
2 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
5 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
6 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
7 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
8 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
9 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
11 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
11 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
13 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
14 WONG Kevin 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
15 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
16 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 WONG Nicholas A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
18 WINTZ Paul K. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
19 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
19 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
21 KARAUSKY Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
21 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
23 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
24 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
25 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
26 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% -
27 WATT Darren 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
28 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
29 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
30 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
31 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1% -
32 YAO Shun 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
33 COOPER Rowan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
34 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
35 BURLING Trenor 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% < 1% -
36 SARKAR Agniv 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
37 KIM Nathan 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
38 AHMED Saheer 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
39 WANG owen 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
40 SINHA Zaan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
41 WANG Terry 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
42 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
43 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 25%
44 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
45 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
46 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
47 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
48 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - - -
49 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
50 BARNETT Devin 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
51 SARKAR Anish 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
52 ROOD Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 33% 7%
53 LO Jake 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
54 HARGROVE Kai 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
55 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
56 LOFTUS Luca 100% 96% 61% 22% 4% - -
57 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 84% 57% 25% 5%
58 FU Leon 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
59 KUO Elvin 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
60 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7% -
61 HOGE William P. 100% 90% 61% 27% 8% 1% -
62 CHUNG Thomas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
63 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
64 BARAFF David 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
65 CHU Allan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
66 LIU Felix 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
67 CASTELLY Luke 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
68 HARGROVE Charles 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
69 MING Nathan 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
70 LEE Bryson 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
71 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
72 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
73 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
74 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% - -
75 DAVIS Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
75 SIRBU Dan 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - - -
77 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
78 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
79 ULINICH Alexander 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
80 HAYDEN Sam E. 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
81 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
82 NICHOLSON Gabriel D. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
82 ZHANG Nathan 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% - -
84 GU Aidan 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
85 BERMENDER Eric 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
86 WIRZ Severin 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
87 PHILIPPINE Johan L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12% 1%
87 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
89 WANG Steven 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% - -
90 SHA Michael 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% - -
91 KIM Sullivan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
92 OU wei 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
93 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
94 KIM Darius H. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
95 PRAKASH Hari 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
96 LIU Noah 100% 77% 22% 3% - - -
97 SLOAN Ryan 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
98 ZACHES Torrey 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
99 SMAY II Joseph E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
99 YU Austin 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
99 YUEN Nathan 100% 63% 18% 3% - - -
102 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
103 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
103 TETALI Vishwanath 100% 51% 10% 1% - - -
105 SMITH Zane A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
106 BHARGAV Angad 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% - -
107 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
108 CHERDAK jacob 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% - -
109 MILSTEIN Nikolas 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - - -
110 WU Eric 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% - -
111 TONG Samuel 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
112 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
113 LEONARDINI Barry M. 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
113 BENNETT Peter 100% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.