Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
3 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
3 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
5 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 DOSS David A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
8 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
9 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
10 KNOX James 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
10 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
12 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
13 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 5% -
14 KUMAR Aidan 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
15 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
16 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
17 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
18 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
19 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
20 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
21 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
22 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 13% 1%
23 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
24 FERGUSON Magnus K. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
25 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
26 SHA Michael 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% -
27 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
28 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
30 DUBINSKY Scott 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 4%
31 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% -
32 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
33 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
34 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
35 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
36 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
37 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
38 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
39 RICHARDS Daniel T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
39 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
41 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
42 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
43 LI Sui Lun (Phillip) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
44 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
45 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
46 JIANG ryan 100% 89% 48% 13% 1% -
47 MAHESH Tarun 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
48 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
49 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
50 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
51 PETROV Niki A. 100% 95% 55% 16% 2% - -
51 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
53 SHEN Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
54 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
55 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
56 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% - -
57 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
58 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
59 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
60 NOP Will H. 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
61 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
62 REDDY Arya 100% 53% 15% 2% - -
63 SKAALAND Will 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
64 BEALS Alden 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
65 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% 1%
66 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
67 TORRES Gianni 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
68 WU Marcus 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
69 HONG James 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
70 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 92% 54% 15% 2% -
71 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
72 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
73 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
74 LAI Boden 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
75 WARD Carrington R. 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
76 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
77 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
78 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
79 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
80 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
80 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
82 FENG Du 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
83 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
84 SANTOS Felipe 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
85 PAN Anthony 100% 24% 2% - - - -
86 LIN Zizhen 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
87 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 50% 8% 1% - - -
87 WANG justin 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
89 WONG King-Yee 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
90 HU Robert J. 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
91 CAFASSO Martin 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
92 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
93 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
94 HANSARD Jess 100% 72% 19% 2% - - -
95 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
96 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
97 ALI Adam 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
98 BYARS John 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
99 LI Ray 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.