The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Take Action

Event Results

Div I Men's Foil

October NACSurprise Map

Friday, October 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM Minneapolis, MN, USA
237 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. V V V D V V V V V V V V 5.6 5 -0.6
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. V V V D D V V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
3 KUMBLA Samarth V V D V V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. V V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
5 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. V V V V V V V V V D 5.6 6 +0.4
7 ARCHER Kristjan V V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
8 KUMBLA Sidarth V V V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
9 EMMER Chase T. V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
10 BROSZUS Blake J. V V D V V V V V V V D V V V V D 9.5 10 +0.5
11 CHEN Allen V D V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
12 JURKIEWICZ Jan D D V V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
13 KUCEBA Vitalijs V V V V D D V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
14 LI Brandon H. D V D V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
15 OURSLER Jack D V V D V V D D V D V V V V V D 7.5 7 -0.5
16 MITBERG Gregory W. V D V V V V V V V D D D V V V V D 9.9 8 -1.9
17 HASSAN Mohamed H. V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
18 KELLY William J. V V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
19 GOOR Julian V V V D D V V V V D V V V V D 6.0 9 +3.0
20 GU Daniel V V V D D D V V V V V V V D 5.5 8 +2.5
21 KIM Nicholas W. V V V D V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
22 ZHANG Daniel D. V V D V V D V D 4.0 4 -
23 BOURTIS James S. D V V D V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
24 CHEN Andrew D V D V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
25 KASI Sanjay D V V D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
26 ROSOWSKY Ahmed V V V V V V V D D V V V V V D 9.0 10 +1.0
27 LOUIE Bryce D V V D V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
28 YANG Luao D V D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
29 MATHIEU Adam V V V D V D V D 5.0 4 -1.0
30 BAE Kevin V V V D D V D V D V V V V V D 5.4 8 +2.6
31 CHEN Ziyuan V D D D V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
32 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) D D V D V D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
33 SHAFAIE Kaveh V V V V V D D 3.4 5 +1.6
33 NAGIMOV Marsel V V V V V D D 4.1 5 +0.9
35 GASSNER Ethan I. D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
36 DANIEL Ashton V D V V V D D 4.1 4 -0.1
37 PAIK Joon K. V V V V V V D V D V V V V D 9.4 10 +0.6
38 YU Eric W. D V V D V V V D D V V V V D 7.4 8 +0.6
39 UM Ethan A. D V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
40 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. D D V V V V V V V D V D V D 9.0 8 -1.0
41 YU Vinni V V D V D V V D D V V V V D 6.9 8 +1.1
42 BOJANOV Boris D D V D V D V V V D V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
43 PRILUTSKY David B. V V V V V V V D V V V D V D 8.8 10 +1.2
44 CULLIVAN Justice V D V V V V D V V V D V D 5.8 8 +2.2
45 KAO Castor T. D V V V D D D 2.6 3 +0.4
46 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) V D V D V D V D V V D D V D 3.8 6 +2.2
47 SADOVSKY Leor B. V V D V D V D V V D D V D 4.3 6 +1.7
48 GRIFFIN John O. V D V V V D V V V D D V D 6.8 7 +0.2
48 DESERANNO Jeidus V D V V D D D 3.2 3 -0.2
50 SHIN Philip D. V D V V V D D V V D D V V D 8.3 7 -1.3
51 MION Lorenzo D V V D V D D D V V V V D 6.1 6 -0.1
52 HOOSHI Jayden C. D D V V V V D D V D V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
53 HUTH Jacob V V V V V D V D V V D D V D 6.2 8 +1.8
53 XIAO Enoch A. D D D V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
53 NDIAYE Edriss G. V D V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
53 BUERGIN Aidan V V V V V V D V D V V D V D 5.3 9 +3.7
57 GRAHAM Roy J. V V D V V V V D D V D D V V D 6.5 7 +0.5
58 DAI Jonathan T. V D V V V D V V D D D D V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
58 JEON Caleb A. V V V V V D V D D D D V V V D 6.4 7 +0.6
60 HAY Gavin V V D V V D V V D D D D V V D 6.8 6 -0.8
61 HAMILTON Bogdan A. V V V D V V D V D D D V V V D 8.3 7 -1.3
62 AYUPOV Ilya D V V V D V D V V D D D V V D 6.4 6 -0.4
63 XIAO Ethan J. V V V D V V D V D V D D V V D 9.0 7 -2.0
63 LEE Aidan V V D V V V D D D V D V V V D 5.6 7 +1.4
65 LIU Niles J. V V V D V V D D D V V V V D 8.6 8 -0.6
66 PETER Griffin V D D D D V V D V D D D V V D 5.5 4 -1.5
67 SONG Aiden S. V D D V V V D D V D D V V D 6.0 6 -
68 LIMA Kevin M. V D V V V V V V D D D D V D 5.5 7 +1.5
69 BURKE Spencer W. D V V V V D D V D D D V V D 7.4 6 -1.4
70 WONG Adam L. D D D D V V D V V D D D V V D 7.2 4 -3.2
71 MOHAMED Amir V V D D D D D D V D V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
72 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) V V D D V D V D D D V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
72 LEE Jacob J V V V D V D D D V V D D V D 4.2 6 +1.8
74 WONG Adrian D D V V V V D D V D D V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
75 LIU Patrick V V V D V V D D D D V V D 7.6 6 -1.6
76 ZHENG Alan H. D V V V V V D D D D V V V 5.9 7 +1.1
77 HOLMES Stuart S. V V V D D V V V D D D D V 9.2 6 -3.2
78 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga D D V D V V D V D D D V V 7.9 5 -2.9
79 SONG Leonardo T. D D V V V V V D D D D V 5.9 5 -0.9
79 BANERJEE ANUP D V V V V D D V D D D V 5.9 5 -0.9
79 LI Raphael C. V D V V V V D D D D V V 5.5 6 +0.5
82 LI Owen V D V V V V D V D D D D V 5.9 6 +0.1
83 FUKUDA Renzo K. V V D D V V D D V D D D V 5.4 5 -0.4
84 GODZHIK Zachary V V V D V D D D D D V 4.7 4 -0.7
85 SULLIVAN Jackson R. V V V V D D D D D V D D V 7.1 5 -2.1
85 LI Eric V D D V V V D D D D D V V 4.6 5 +0.4
85 DORAN Wesley C. D V D D D V D D D D D V V V 3.6 3 -0.6
88 REALS Alden D. V V V V V D D D V D D D V 6.2 6 -0.2
89 KORABLIN Anton V D V D D V D D D D D V V 7.6 4 -3.6
90 KIM Yonjae V V D V D D D D D V D V 3.9 4 +0.1
91 ZUSIN Zachary W. V V D V V V D D D V D D V 8.0 6 -2.0
92 SICHITIU Alexander V V D V V D D D D D V 3.2 4 +0.8
93 SIMA Congyu Josh D D V V V D D D V D D V 3.0 4 +1.0
94 LI Richard D V V V D V D D D D D D V 6.7 4 -2.7
95 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. V V V D V D D D D D D V 6.2 4 -2.2
96 MURRAY Maximo D V V D D V D D D D D D V V 2.3 3 +0.7
97 HUTH Mitchell D V D V D V D D D D D D V 6.6 3 -3.6
98 JIANG Owen D D D V D V V V 2.7 2 -0.7
99 GRASS Andrew E. V V V V V V D 4.3 6 +1.7
100 LO Conrad V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
101 HOSSFELD Finn E. V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
102 LIANG Lixi (Henry) V V V V V D D 3.9 5 +1.1
103 TOTUSEK Marek V V V V V D D 4.5 5 +0.5
104 FOGELSON Frederick J. V V V V D V D 3.7 5 +1.3
105 GERVAIS Joel D V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
106 KIM Ryan Y. V D V V V V D 2.1 5 +2.9
106 WYMAN Julian V V V V D V D 3.0 5 +2.0
108 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
109 MILLER Jeffrey E. V D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
110 STANLEY Mason B. V V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
111 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. V D V D V V D 1.9 4 +2.1
112 KWON Ethan V V V V D D D 4.7 4 -0.7
113 JANG Jaewon V V D V V D D 4.6 4 -0.6
114 NAGER Noah V V V D V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
115 TRAUGOT Owen G. V V D D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
116 LI Edward V D D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
117 BAS Liam V V V D D V D 4.3 4 -0.3
118 BRUK Peter J. D V V D V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
119 DIVITO Dylan V V V D V D D 4.1 4 -0.1
120 HOOSHI Dylan M. V V V D V D D 4.2 4 -0.2
121 BALL James T. D V D V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
122 WU Nicholas D V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
122 SEZER Kaya D V V V V D D 4.0 4 -
124 SONG Bryan V V V V D D D 2.1 4 +1.9
125 RUSADZE Nickolas V D D V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
126 ONIK Elijah T. V V D D V V D 4.0 4 -
127 MAURER Ned (John) E. D V V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
128 HSIUNG Richie D V V V D V D 2.1 4 +1.9
129 DOBBINS Evan W. V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
130 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. V V D V V D D 3.3 4 +0.7
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. V V D V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
131 LOVE Aaron V V D V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
133 VOGLER Justin K. V D D V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
133 DICKSON Farr R. D V V D V D 4.0 3 -1.0
135 BING Charles D V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
136 SINGH Dayaal D D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
137 GRIFFITH JACK D D V V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
138 LU Yikai V D D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
139 AHN Jun D D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
140 DAVIS Christopher M. V D D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
141 KIM Brandon J. D D V D V V D 4.8 3 -1.8
142 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. D D V V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
143 KATAYAMA Kevin D V V D D V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
144 HOSKERI Anik S. V V V D D D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
145 GARCIA Sebastian R. D V V V D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
146 ZHANG Yun Isaac D D V V D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
147 REYES Omar V V D D V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
148 DEGROOT Blake V V V D D D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
149 DIERKS Kian D V V V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
150 ZHAO Jason L. D D D V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
151 SHAFAIE Ali V V V D D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
152 PO Oliver V D V D D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
153 PELOSKY Zack B. D D V V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
154 JAIN Aditya D D V D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
155 DETERING Julian D D V V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
156 GATZA Logan V D D V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
157 HO Jia Le Sean D D D V D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
158 LANG Dong Lin V D D V D D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
159 KOBAL Maximilian D V D D V D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
160 MARTIN IV Elmer D. V D D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
161 COSTELLO Chaissen F. V D D V D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
162 KEE Andrew L. V D D D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
163 ADLER David R. D D V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
164 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. D V V V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
165 ELWOOD Sebastian F. D V V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
166 LIN James G. V D D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
166 LOVIN Vlad V D D D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
168 LEWIS Akhil D V V D V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
169 KIM Minhyeok D D V D V V D 1.2 3 +1.8
170 TANG Owen S. D D V V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
171 MURUHIN Yaroslav V D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
172 CHEN-LI David C. D V D V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
173 FORTUNE Alexander J. D V V D V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
174 GOGOI Vir K. V V D V D D D 1.1 3 +1.9
175 MICKELSON Jacob P. V D V V D D D 2.1 3 +0.9
176 ELKOUSY Laith H. D V D D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
177 PAN Henry V D D V D D 0.8 2 +1.2
178 SHA Yi Peng D D V V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
179 HU Robin V D V D D D 2.0 2 -
180 WITTENBERG Jackson H. V V D D D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
181 LIN Michael V D V D D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
182 HAINES Ethan D V D V D D D 2.6 2 -0.6
183 RUFFNER Blake W. D D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
184 WU Alexander V D D V D D D 3.5 2 -1.5
185 WILLIAMS Connor J. D D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
185 LIM Lance Jeremiah D V D D V D D 0.5 2 +1.5
187 MOHAMED Murad D D V D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
188 ZELTSER Lawrence M. V D D V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
189 CHENG Nathan D V D D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
189 GONG Benjamin V D D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
191 ZHANG Aaron D D V D D V 1.1 2 +0.9
192 LUH Ethan K. D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
192 ORR Spencer D D D V V D 1.3 2 +0.7
194 EVANS Aidan D V D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
195 JAUME Andrei D V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
196 BURBERRY Alan V D D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
197 ZOBEL Eric H. V V D D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
197 JITTAN daniel V V D D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
199 CHENG Jonathan D D V V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
200 LIGOS Alex M. D V D D D V 0.6 2 +1.4
201 LEE Jacob D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
202 LIN Dashiell D D D D V 2.2 1 -1.2
203 JI Aidan Y. D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
204 FLANAGAN James V D D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
205 LOCKWOOD Owen D D D D D V 3.4 1 -2.4
205 TIAN allen V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
207 JUDD Mehta J. D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
207 WONG Antonio D D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
209 YU Anders D D D D V D 2.9 1 -1.9
210 PORRAS Cristian D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
211 PAI Lakshan K. D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
212 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
213 MEJIA MATTHEW D. D D D V D D 1.5 1 -0.5
214 GIRALDO Pablo E. D D D D D V 2.4 1 -1.4
214 LI Matthew D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
216 PALMA Matthew Dominic D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
217 TSAO Lukas D D D D D V 0.9 1 +0.1
218 REEVES Liam D D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
218 KLOTZ Isaiah D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
220 LEWIS Paul D. V D D D D D 3.6 1 -2.6
221 ROSE Ben D V D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
222 PARK Sky D D V D D D 0.6 1 +0.4
223 OH SEAN D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
224 DAVIDSON Elliot D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
225 LEE Chris D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
226 KITAGAWA Eric S. D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
227 WANG Michael D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
227 MUSHER Benjamin J. D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
227 ORLOV Dmitriy D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
230 GUO Justin D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
231 WECHSLER Jacob D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
232 DINSAY Kristjan D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
233 GATRELL Mitchell E. D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
234 GAO William D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4
235 KUZMAK Michael J. D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
235 KANAR Ian D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
237 WANG Mason D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%