October NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 2% 10% 29% 41% 19%
3 KATS Dylan G. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 FU Leon - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
5 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
6 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
7 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
8 LO Jake - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
9 ZHENG Andy - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
11 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 SCHIEK Harrison - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
13 KIM Nathan - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
14 DODIN David - - 1% 13% 45% 41%
14 FAN Jackson - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
16 BRODSKY Julian 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
17 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 4% 23% 49% 24%
18 HAMZA Tudor - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
19 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
20 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
21 SILVERS Ari - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
21 SU Caleb - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
23 LAI Boden - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
24 YUE Hongrui - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
25 ZI QIN Shang - - 2% 10% 30% 42% 17%
26 HEADRICK Lance 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
27 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
28 RUBIN Daniel - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
29 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
30 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
31 BORISENKO Samuel 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
32 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
33 LEE Aiden - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
34 SHAN Junzhe - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
35 KIM Jayden 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
36 YANG Boyan - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
37 SANTOS Antonio K. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
38 CHOI Zachary 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
39 MITEV Alexander - 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
40 WOLFE Alex - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
41 ESKRIDGE Caleb - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
42 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
43 HU Anton 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
44 ZHAI Avalo - 6% 30% 45% 18% 2%
45 DONAHUE Lake 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
46 ZHENG Jerry 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
46 YU Austin 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
48 MIAO KUNQI - 15% 45% 32% 7% -
49 LI Zachary 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
50 PARK Nicholas - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
51 NAKAS Levent - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
52 KIM Ian - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
53 MAO Benjamin 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
54 LAM Alan 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
55 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
56 SINGH Ravin 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
57 LIU Yikun 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
58 BARG Jonathan 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
59 SIEDOW William 44% 42% 13% 2% - -
60 KIM Minjae - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
61 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
62 CHUNG Andrew 3% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
63 XIONG Aaron 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
64 NOFZIGER Bennett 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
65 ROMANOV Ethan - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
66 COLEMAN Ian 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
67 FANG Hanning 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
68 KANG EUNWOO - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
69 ALI Farhan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
70 LEE JiYuen 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
71 MODANLOU Navid 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
72 LOISEAU Oscar 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
73 HUANG Kenneth 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
74 TRULL A.J. 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
75 DONG Haiyi 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
76 SONG Troy 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
77 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
78 JAIN Samyak 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
79 XIA Dashan 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
80 CHAI Ethan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
81 LIN Zizhen 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
82 ZHAO Zidong 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
83 MALHAM Andrew 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
84 ZIEGLER John 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
85 JIANG Matthew 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
86 KIM Matthew 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
87 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 4% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
88 PAN Anthony 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
89 DHAL Leon 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
89 NAEMI Barsam 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
91 BHATT Arjun 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% -
92 SAVORETTI Pietro 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
93 JOHNSON Soren 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
94 SANTOS Francisco M. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
95 QIU William 87% 12% - - - -
96 PAN Tristan 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
97 KUGLER Luke 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
98 GINZBURG Adam 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
99 KUANG Bryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
100 WANG Joey - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
101 GOROZA Eric 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
102 LEE Inwoo 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
103 MILEY Walker 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
104 TESFAYE Elias 4% 47% 38% 10% 1% -
105 GRAVES Lawson 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
106 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
107 LIANG Eric 15% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
108 LIPPMAN Jake 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
109 TWEMLOW Sacha 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
109 REID Wesley 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
111 BLACK Zachary 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
112 SUN Neo 82% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.