October NAC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
3 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
5 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
6 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
7 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
9 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
10 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
11 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
13 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
14 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
14 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
16 BRODSKY Julian 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
17 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
18 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
19 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
20 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
21 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
21 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 LAI Boden 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
24 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
25 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
26 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
27 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
28 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
29 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
30 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
31 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% -
32 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
33 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
34 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
35 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
36 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
37 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
38 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
39 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
40 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
41 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
42 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
43 HU Anton 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
44 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 2%
45 DONAHUE Lake 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
46 ZHENG Jerry 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
46 YU Austin 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
48 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 85% 40% 8% -
49 LI Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
50 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
51 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
52 KIM Ian 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 MAO Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% 1%
54 LAM Alan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
55 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
56 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
57 LIU Yikun 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
58 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
59 SIEDOW William 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
60 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
61 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 6% 1%
62 CHUNG Andrew 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
63 XIONG Aaron 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
64 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
65 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
66 COLEMAN Ian 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
67 FANG Hanning 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
68 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
69 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
70 LEE JiYuen 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
71 MODANLOU Navid 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
72 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
73 HUANG Kenneth 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
74 TRULL A.J. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
75 DONG Haiyi 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
76 SONG Troy 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
77 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
78 JAIN Samyak 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
79 XIA Dashan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
80 CHAI Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
81 LIN Zizhen 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
82 ZHAO Zidong 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
83 MALHAM Andrew 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
84 ZIEGLER John 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
85 JIANG Matthew 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
86 KIM Matthew 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
87 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
88 PAN Anthony 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
89 DHAL Leon 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
89 NAEMI Barsam 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
91 BHATT Arjun 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
92 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
93 JOHNSON Soren 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
94 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
95 QIU William 100% 13% - - - -
96 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
97 KUGLER Luke 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
98 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
99 KUANG Bryan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
100 WANG Joey 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
101 GOROZA Eric 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
102 LEE Inwoo 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
103 MILEY Walker 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
104 TESFAYE Elias 100% 96% 49% 11% 1% -
105 GRAVES Lawson 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
106 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
107 LIANG Eric 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
108 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
109 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
109 REID Wesley 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
111 BLACK Zachary 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
112 SUN Neo 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.