Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MURPHY Thomas P. - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
2 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
3 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 NGUYEN Tate - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
5 CLICK Aiden - - - - 5% 29% 66%
6 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
7 KIM Dylan J. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
8 YANG Boyan - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
9 LEE JoonWon - - 3% 13% 34% 39% 11%
10 THAKUR Om S. - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
11 SILVERS Ari - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
12 WOLFE Alex - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
13 GAO Daniel - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
13 FISHMAN Rahm - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
15 CAO Albert - - 2% 10% 29% 41% 19%
16 ZI QIN Shang - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
17 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
18 WANG zhixing (Daniel） - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 HEADRICK Lance - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
20 CAO Brad - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
21 ZHENG Andy - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
22 CHEN Brian 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
23 SHAN Junzhe - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
24 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
25 DODIN David - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
26 ZAYDMAN Ethan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
27 XIAO Hanzhi （Shawn） - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
28 DHAL Leon 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
29 ZHENG Jerry 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
30 MAO Benjamin 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
31 ALI Farhan 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
32 FANG Hanning - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
33 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
34 ZHAI Avalo - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
35 WANG Clayton - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
36 SCHULZE Ethan - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
37 CHOI Kaiden I. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
38 ZAHRAN Aiden 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
39 KUGLER Luke 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
40 MODULLA Yathin R. - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
41 EMDEN André - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 11%
42 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
43 GANESAN Mathavan 2% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
44 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
45 AGARWAL Adheesh 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
46 CORBIN Bennett - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
47 LAM Alan - 6% 26% 41% 23% 4%
48 SINGH Aryaman - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
49 SHA Michael - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
50 CHIN Dylan A. - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
51 LAPP Oliver 3% 31% 42% 20% 4% -
52 ZHAO Zidong 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
53 CLICK Tristan - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
54 USDIN Anton - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
55 ABBOUD Michael - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
56 LEE Aiden 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
57 SINGH Ravin 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
58 DUAN eric - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
59 FUSSMAN Yuval 2% 16% 36% 33% 13% 2%
60 ZENG Andrew 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
61 MEGGERS Davin - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
62 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
63 SOKOL Luke - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
64 TRULL A.J. 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
65 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
66 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
67 GRAVES Lawson 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
68 MAROCHNIK Daniel - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
69 PETROW Zoryan 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
70 HULL Liam 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
71 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
72 ALABI Tobi 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
73 MEN Junda 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
74 SONG Troy 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
75 KWOUN Miles S. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
76 DAN Rex 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
77 DACKO Alexander V. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 5%
78 ILYAS Zakariya - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
79 REDDY Arya 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
80 GLENNON Sebastian J. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
80 MITEV Alexander - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
82 PETROVICH Alexandar 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
83 BERNARD Jack B. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
84 JIANG Matthew 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
85 YU Jason 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
86 HERNDON Liam 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
87 HU Robert J. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
88 AYOTTE James 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
89 OSBORN Hunter 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
90 CHENH Justin 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
91 OTTO Nathaniel B. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
92 ATKINS Levi H. 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
93 ZHANG William - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
93 TIRADO Giancarlo 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
95 BRADSHAW Carter 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
95 HU Anton - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
97 MODANLOU Navid 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
98 BUI Henry - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
99 SAUNIER Cameron 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
100 SIEDOW William 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
100 PALIWODA Nicholas 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
100 SHILOV Maxim 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
100 LIPPMAN Jake 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
104 RAPALSKI Thomas 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
105 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
106 GONZALEZ Lucas 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
107 KE Sebastian 20% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
108 DEGENHARDT Zenji 44% 44% 11% 1% - - -
109 BOUDREAUX James 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
110 GINZBURG Adam 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
111 LEE JiYuen 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
112 BRODSKY Julian 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
113 ZIEGLER John 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
114 PAL Ian K. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
115 HUANG Kenneth 1% 20% 42% 28% 7% 1%
116 KANG EUNWOO - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
117 JURKECH Jacob 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
118 DURKIN Tristan E. - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
119 CHADDA Ilyas 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
120 GUO ZIXU 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
121 LIMA Cole 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
122 RUSSELL James 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
123 ZHAO Pierce 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
124 CHEN Bowen 10% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
125 XIONG Aaron 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
126 BRUNDAGE Nevan 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
127 SNYDER Ari < 1% 4% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
128 LIU Ethan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
129 PETERSEN Zachary 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
130 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
131 MEHROTRA Neel 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
132 FORAIDA Khalid 9% 33% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
133 CHHU Allen 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
134 BUI Ryan 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
134 HOOD Emery 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
136 LIN Zizhen 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
137 VADDE Pranav 78% 20% 2% - - -
138 WATERS Nathaniel 63% 31% 6% - - -
139 BOCK Christopher 6% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
140 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
141 CARNALL Hunter 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.