The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
3 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
5 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
9 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
10 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
11 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
12 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
13 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
13 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
15 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
16 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
17 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
18 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
18 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
20 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
21 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
22 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
23 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
25 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
26 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
27 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
28 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 5% -
29 ZHENG Jerry 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
30 MAO Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
31 ALI Farhan 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
32 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
33 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
34 ZHAI Avalo 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
35 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
36 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 24%
37 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
38 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
39 KUGLER Luke 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
40 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
41 EMDEN André 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
42 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
43 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
44 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
45 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
46 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
47 LAM Alan 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
48 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
49 SHA Michael 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
50 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
51 LAPP Oliver 100% 97% 66% 24% 4% -
52 ZHAO Zidong 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
53 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
54 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
55 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
56 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
57 SINGH Ravin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
58 DUAN eric 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
59 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2%
60 ZENG Andrew 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
61 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
62 HERNÁNDEZ Leandros 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
63 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
64 TRULL A.J. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
65 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
66 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
67 GRAVES Lawson 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
68 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
69 PETROW Zoryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
70 HULL Liam 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
71 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
72 ALABI Tobi 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
73 MEN Junda 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
74 SONG Troy 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
75 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
76 DAN Rex 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
77 DACKO Alexander V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 5%
78 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
79 REDDY Arya 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
80 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
80 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
82 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
83 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
84 JIANG Matthew 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
85 YU Jason 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
86 HERNDON Liam 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
87 HU Robert J. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
88 AYOTTE James 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
89 OSBORN Hunter 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
90 CHENH Justin 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
91 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
92 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
93 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 16% 2%
93 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
95 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
95 HU Anton 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
97 MODANLOU Navid 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
98 BUI Henry 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
99 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
100 SIEDOW William 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
100 PALIWODA Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
100 SHILOV Maxim 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
100 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
104 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
105 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
106 GONZALEZ Lucas 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
107 KE Sebastian 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
108 DEGENHARDT Zenji 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
109 BOUDREAUX James 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
110 GINZBURG Adam 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
111 LEE JiYuen 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
112 BRODSKY Julian 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
113 ZIEGLER John 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
114 PAL Ian K. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
115 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 78% 36% 8% 1%
116 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
117 JURKECH Jacob 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
118 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
119 CHADDA Ilyas 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
120 GUO ZIXU 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
121 LIMA Cole 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
122 RUSSELL James 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
123 ZHAO Pierce 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
124 CHEN Bowen 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
125 XIONG Aaron 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
126 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
127 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
128 LIU Ethan 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
129 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
130 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
131 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
132 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
133 CHHU Allen 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
134 BUI Ryan 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
134 HOOD Emery 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
136 LIN Zizhen 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
137 VADDE Pranav 100% 22% 2% - - -
138 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 37% 6% - - -
139 BOCK Christopher 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
140 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
141 CARNALL Hunter 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.