The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 2% 18% 50% 30%
3 BOYCE Samuel H. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 SINGHA Orion - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
5 LIN Kyran - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
6 ELZAYN Hadi S. - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1%
7 JAIN Aditya - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
8 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
9 MADISON Ethan S. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
10 PETROLL Jared P. - - - 4% 28% 68%
11 SODERBERG Alex Z. - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
12 KIM Benjamin I. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
13 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
14 HOFMAN Adam - 1% 11% 35% 38% 13% 1%
15 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
16 STCLAIR Jake 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
17 ULINICH Alexander - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
18 JAIN Sarthak - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
19 JONES Caleb - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
20 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
21 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - 3% 21% 43% 27% 5%
22 DOWDELL Riley 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
23 PARK Elliot - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
24 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
25 SCHINDLER Sergey M. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14% 1%
26 RAJ Shrey 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
27 LIU Andrew - 5% 20% 37% 29% 7% -
28 MA Victor - 3% 19% 43% 30% 4%
29 FU Leon - 4% 20% 42% 30% 4%
30 SMITH Justin C. - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
31 ALLEN Graham - - 1% 14% 46% 39%
32 HELGE James R. - < 1% 2% 14% 38% 41% 5%
33 LOGUE Ethan D. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
34 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet - - - - 2% 20% 78%
35 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 49%
36 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
37 PALACIOS Justin M. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
38 LEE Chun Po 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
39 ZAYDMAN David M. - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
40 SARKAR Anish - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
41 WATT Darren - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
42 HUSSAIN Kamran - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
43 ZHANG Alec - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
44 CHEN Steve - 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
45 SUVOROV Yuly - - 1% 12% 37% 40% 11%
46 WISHART Eric 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
47 CHU Allan - 2% 14% 43% 32% 8% 1%
48 SINHA Zaan 6% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
49 WONG Kevin 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
50 MARIANI Lou - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
51 LOMIO Nicholas A. 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
52 MING Nathan 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1% -
53 SEO Shawn 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
54 LOFTUS Luca 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
55 RICHARD silas 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
56 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% -
57 HADLEY Daniel K. - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
58 CHEN Bailey 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
59 ZHANG Nathan - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
60 TANG William 3% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
61 YUEN Nathan 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
62 LEE Jayden J. 4% 26% 47% 19% 3% - -
63 KNUDSEN Travis 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
64 GU Aidan 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
65 CHOI Zachary - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
66 ZACHES Torrey - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4%
67 LIPTON Michael D. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
68 LIU Felix 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
69 WELDON Benjamin - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
70 LI Ethan R. 27% 45% 23% 4% - -
71 KONG Martin C. 5% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
72 LAURIMAA Emil 19% 43% 30% 7% - -
73 TONG Samuel 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% - -
74 AHMED Saheer - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
75 HARGROVE Charles 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
76 BURLING Trenor 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
77 LEVENTAL Mark 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
78 GENCHEV Madav 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
79 LUONG Allen 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
80 CHANG Andrew 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
81 LOOK Edward 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
82 WONG Ethan 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
83 GUPTA Karan 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
84 BAGCHI Aritra 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
85 ROOD Alex - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
86 STOCK Jordan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
87 HOOPES Jr. Richard R. 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
88 LAI Alexander 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
89 PERALTA Christian 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
90 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
91 CHENG Zijun 5% 26% 42% 22% 4% - -
92 PEPPER Alexander 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
93 SLOAN Ryan 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
94 PRAKASH Hari 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
95 HE Zhiheng 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
96 SIRBU Dan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
97 NICHOLSON Dominic A. - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
98 ANDERSON Kai 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
99 JAIN Samyak 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
100 RYAN Christopher 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
101 NGUYEN Steven 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
101 ZHUANG William 9% 35% 40% 14% 2% -
103 LEE Bryson 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
104 CASTELLY Luke 1% 7% 29% 44% 17% 2%
105 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - < 1% 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
106 TOLLEFSON Zachary 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
107 YU Austin 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
108 BAZHENOV Anthony 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
109 WEBB Ashton 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
110 SIM Ian 37% 46% 15% 1% - - -
111 WANG Xu-Chen 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
112 HARGROVE Kai - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
113 BAKKEN Archer 62% 32% 6% - - - -
114 BUFFINGTON Bryson 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
115 NG Biwon 24% 45% 26% 5% - -
116 OU wei 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
117 HAU Peter 25% 48% 22% 4% - - -
118 CLAES Lucas 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
119 PEPPER Robert 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
120 WEBB Jeremey 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.