The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 30%
3 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
5 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
6 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
7 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
8 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
9 MADISON Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
10 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
11 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
12 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
13 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
14 HOFMAN Adam 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
15 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
16 STCLAIR Jake 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
17 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
18 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
19 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
20 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
21 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
22 DOWDELL Riley 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
23 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
24 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
25 SCHINDLER Sergey M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
26 RAJ Shrey 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
27 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% -
28 MA Victor 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 4%
29 FU Leon 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 4%
30 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
31 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 39%
32 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 5%
33 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
34 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
35 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
36 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
37 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
38 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
39 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
40 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
41 WATT Darren 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
42 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
43 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
44 CHEN Steve 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 10% 1%
45 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 11%
46 WISHART Eric 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
47 CHU Allan 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 9% 1%
48 SINHA Zaan 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
49 WONG Kevin 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
50 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
51 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
52 MING Nathan 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1% -
53 SEO Shawn 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
54 LOFTUS Luca 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
55 RICHARD silas 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
56 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% -
57 HADLEY Daniel K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
58 CHEN Bailey 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -
59 ZHANG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
60 TANG William 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
61 YUEN Nathan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
62 LEE Jayden J. 100% 96% 70% 22% 3% - -
63 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
64 GU Aidan 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
65 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
66 ZACHES Torrey 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 4%
67 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
68 LIU Felix 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
69 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 8%
70 LI Ethan R. 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
71 KONG Martin C. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
72 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 81% 38% 8% - -
73 TONG Samuel 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% - -
74 AHMED Saheer 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
75 HARGROVE Charles 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
76 BURLING Trenor 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
77 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
78 GENCHEV Madav 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
79 LUONG Allen 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
80 CHANG Andrew 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% - -
81 LOOK Edward 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
82 WONG Ethan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
83 GUPTA Karan 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
84 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
85 ROOD Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
86 STOCK Jordan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
87 HOOPES Jr. Richard R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
88 LAI Alexander 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
89 PERALTA Christian 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
90 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 60% 17% 3% - - -
91 CHENG Zijun 100% 95% 69% 26% 5% - -
92 PEPPER Alexander 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
93 SLOAN Ryan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
94 PRAKASH Hari 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
95 HE Zhiheng 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1%
96 SIRBU Dan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
97 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
98 ANDERSON Kai 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
99 JAIN Samyak 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
100 RYAN Christopher 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
101 NGUYEN Steven 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
101 ZHUANG William 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
103 LEE Bryson 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
104 CASTELLY Luke 100% 99% 92% 63% 19% 2%
105 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
106 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
107 YU Austin 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
108 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
109 WEBB Ashton 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
110 SIM Ian 100% 63% 17% 1% - - -
111 WANG Xu-Chen 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
112 HARGROVE Kai 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
113 BAKKEN Archer 100% 38% 6% - - - -
114 BUFFINGTON Bryson 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
115 NG Biwon 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
116 OU wei 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
117 HAU Peter 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
118 CLAES Lucas 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
119 PEPPER Robert 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
120 WEBB Jeremey 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.