National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
2 SILVERS Ari - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
3 ESKRIDGE Caleb - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 IARIKOV Nicholas - - - - 5% 30% 64%
5 KATS Dylan G. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
6 ZHENG Andy - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
7 LO Jake - - - - 4% 27% 69%
8 KARNAS Karol - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
9 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
10 CHEN Brian - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
11 DAVOODIAN Christopher - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
12 MIAO KUNQI - - 3% 19% 42% 32% 5%
13 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
14 KIM Nathan - - - - 5% 30% 65%
14 WOLFE Alex - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
16 JIANG ryan - - 4% 21% 40% 28% 5%
17 DONDISCH ilan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 KIM Jayden - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
19 SINGH Ravin - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
20 DODIN David - - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
21 YU Austin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
22 ROMANOV Ethan - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
23 SANTOS Antonio K. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 3%
24 ZAYDMAN Ethan - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
24 HEADRICK Lance - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
26 SANTOS Francisco M. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
27 YANG Boyan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
28 WANG Joey - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
29 SHCHUR Landon - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
30 MIDYANY Evan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
31 LIU Yikun - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
32 KUGLER Luke - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
33 LE BORGNE Matthieu - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
34 MULCAHY Olaf - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
35 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
36 FU Leon - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
37 TRULL A.J. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
38 WANG justin - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
39 KHANNA Nikhil - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
40 ALI Farhan - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 5%
41 SCHIEK Harrison - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 10%
42 TIKHOMIROV Theodore - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 16%
43 ZHENG Jerry - - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
43 AVETISIAN Alexander - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
45 BORISENKO Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
46 RUSSELL James 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
46 ZIEGLER John 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
48 ATKINS Levi H. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
49 BOUDREAUX James - 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2%
50 SU Caleb - - - - 5% 29% 65%
50 KENT V David - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
50 GRAVES Lawson - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
53 CARDENAS Lucas - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
54 HAMZA Tudor - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 36%
55 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
56 CHEN Leonardo 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
57 CHEN Bailey - - 2% 10% 31% 42% 15%
58 BARG Jonathan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
59 SONG Troy - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
60 CORBIN Bennett - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
61 LI Yunji (Rain) - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
62 MODANLOU Navid 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
63 CHAUDHURI Kabir 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
64 WONG Baron 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
65 CORTRIGHT Caedmon - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
66 XIE Brandon - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
67 PARKER Isaiah - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
68 CHOI Zachary - - 1% 12% 36% 40% 11%
69 ZENG Andrew - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
70 KIM Teddy - 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
71 LAM Alan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
72 TSE Maxwell - 4% 16% 32% 33% 14% 1%
73 KANG Eunchan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
74 LEE Aiden - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
75 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
76 YAO Geoffrey B. - - - - 5% 31% 64%
77 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
78 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15%
78 GINZBURG Adam - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
80 LU Jacob - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
81 MAO Benjamin - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
82 DONAHUE Lake - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
83 WEGENER Soren - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
84 LAI Boden - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
85 MEN Junda - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
85 LAPP Oliver 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
87 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
88 ROBINSON Samuel 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
89 ANDERSON Kai 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
89 ALABI Tobi 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 6% 1%
91 BUI Henry - 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
92 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
93 LIU Jeremiah W. 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
94 LI Ethan R. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
95 JONES Reilly - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
96 CHIN Dylan A. - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 17%
97 PETROW Zoryan 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
98 MULDOON Thomas 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
99 BAJAJ Nakul 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
100 CHUNG Andrew - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
101 OBERDERFER Vladimir - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
102 DECKER Hunter 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
103 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
104 SIM Ian 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
105 HUANG Kenneth 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
106 LIU Adam - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
107 SIYANKO Joshua - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
108 KIM Ian - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
109 LEE Inwoo 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
109 BAKKEN Archer 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
111 LEE Jayden J. - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
112 PATCHETT Bennett 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
113 CZEPLA Andrew 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
114 HERNDON Liam 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
115 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
116 DODDAPANENI Aarav 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
117 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
118 CARNALL Hunter 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1% -
119 WONG Maximus 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
120 DAVIDOVICH Eli 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
121 LUR'YE Killian 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
122 YI Nathan 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
123 NAKAS Levent - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 1%
124 ARMSTRONG TyLee 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
125 LIDSKY Phineas 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
126 HEADRICK Jack - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
127 KOSTUSIAK Evan 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
128 GONZALEZ Kian - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
129 CARTY JR Johndale 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
130 BRADSHAW Carter 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
131 CHEN Jayden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
132 KIM Teo - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
132 MAZAHERI Fletcher 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
134 QIAN Irvine 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
134 CLAES Thomas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
136 NORMILE Nicholas 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
136 JOHNSON Soren 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
138 LOISEAU Oscar 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
139 KUANG Bryan 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
140 XI Benjamin 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
141 TAI Edison 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
142 BRODSKY Julian - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
143 AYOTTE James 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
144 CHOU Benson 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
145 WU Eric - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
146 HELMY Richard 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
147 LEE Damien - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
148 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
149 HIGGINS Calvin 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
150 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
151 LIU Josh - 3% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
152 FRANGER Max 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
152 SHAFFER Tyler 8% 42% 37% 12% 2% - -
154 FENG Shang 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
155 MORIN-JIANG Jake 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
156 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
156 JAIN Samyak 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
158 DACHELET Sawyer 3% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
159 HSU Joshua 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
160 MEHROTRA Dhruv 58% 37% 5% < 1% - - -
161 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
162 CHENG Trevor 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
163 SAUNIER Cameron 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
164 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
165 PARK Sangwook 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
166 HENSLEY Roran 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
167 REAGAN Henry - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
168 DADE MAXIMUS 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
169 MANGAN Hunter 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
170 DAN Rex - 2% 9% 24% 35% 25% 6%
171 LI Tristan 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
172 SHEN Jiayi 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
173 KE Sebastian 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
173 GANTSOUDES Isaac - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
175 NOFZIGER Bennett 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
175 CHEN Bowen 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
177 LEE DoWon 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
178 ZHAO Pierce 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
179 DOUBOV Andrew 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
180 RAHMAN Yousef 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
181 YILMAZ Tarik 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
182 WANG Devin 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% - -
183 RONG Gordon 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
184 GOROZA Eric 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
185 CHEN Leetyan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
185 LEE Royce 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
185 CORDOVA Colin 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
188 SUN Ethan 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
189 CHHU Allen 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
189 BAXTER Max 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
191 WELLING Cohen 19% 52% 24% 4% - - -
192 LEUNG Dylan 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
192 ZHOU Austin 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
194 LIU Yueri 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
195 NAM Nathaniel 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
196 BYRON Max 21% 45% 26% 7% 1% -
196 SCHAUER Oliver 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
198 RICHARD silas - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
199 ANDERSON-SONG Jude 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
200 REID Wesley 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
201 RAO Neil 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
201 WU Johnny y. 10% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
203 PETROVICH Alexandar 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
204 SIEDOW William 2% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
205 ORESKOVIC Olivier 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
206 STAUDINGER Enzo 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
207 YANG Gary 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
207 SHILOV Maxim 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
209 KIM Alexander 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
210 VEERAVALLI Vivek 8% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
211 SINGLETON Aman 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
212 KIM Joshua 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
213 GUO Woody 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
214 MOSKOWITZ Martin 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
215 ZAHRAN Aiden - 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
216 LI Ray 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
217 DOAN Christopher 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
218 KIM Remington 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
219 LAU Alex 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
219 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
221 HERDMAN Julian 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
222 KIM Henry 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
222 SUN Neo 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
224 DILLON Anik 8% 46% 34% 10% 1% - -
225 FU Adrian 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
226 YANG Kayden - 5% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
227 ABAD Mateo 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
228 MA Ciel 13% 46% 31% 9% 1% - -
229 XIA Dashan < 1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
230 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
231 MOORE Alexander < 1% 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% -
232 WU Chi Kuan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
233 NAIR Sujit 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
234 ZHAO Colin 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
235 RUSSELL Michael 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
235 BARFORD Giovanni 74% 24% 2% - - - -
237 DESROSIERS Matthew 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
238 BLACK Zachary 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
238 LAWRENCE Brady 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
240 ZEPHURINE Josiah 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
241 PARRISH Edison 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
242 TESFAYE Elias 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
243 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
244 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
245 GREENMAN Duke 68% 28% 4% - - - -
246 LI Timothy 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
247 TUMULA Arihaan 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
247 FENG Xinmin 58% 35% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.