The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Épée

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
2 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
5 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
7 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
8 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
9 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
11 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
12 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 5%
13 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
14 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
14 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
16 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
17 DONDISCH ilan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
19 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 3%
20 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
21 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
22 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
23 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
24 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
24 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
26 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
27 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
28 WANG Joey 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
29 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
30 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
31 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
32 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
33 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
34 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
35 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
36 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
37 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
38 WANG justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
39 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
40 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
41 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
42 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
43 ZHENG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
43 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
45 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
46 RUSSELL James 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
46 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
48 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
49 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
50 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
50 KENT V David 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
50 GRAVES Lawson 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
53 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
54 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
55 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
56 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
57 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
58 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
59 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
60 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
61 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
62 MODANLOU Navid 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
63 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
64 WONG Baron 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
65 CORTRIGHT Caedmon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
66 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
67 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
68 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 11%
69 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
70 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
71 LAM Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
72 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
73 KANG Eunchan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
74 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
75 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
76 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
77 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
78 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
78 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
80 LU Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
81 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
82 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
83 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
84 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
85 MEN Junda 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 7%
85 LAPP Oliver 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
87 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
88 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
89 ANDERSON Kai 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
89 ALABI Tobi 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
91 BUI Henry 100% 100% 94% 66% 28% 5% -
92 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
93 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
94 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
95 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
96 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
97 PETROW Zoryan 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
98 MULDOON Thomas 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
99 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 1% -
100 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
101 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
102 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
103 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
104 SIM Ian 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 1% -
105 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
106 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
107 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 3%
108 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
109 LEE Inwoo 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
109 BAKKEN Archer 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
111 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
112 PATCHETT Bennett 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
113 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
114 HERNDON Liam 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
115 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4%
116 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
117 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% -
118 CARNALL Hunter 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
119 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
120 DAVIDOVICH Eli 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
121 LUR'YE Killian 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
122 YI Nathan 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
123 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
124 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
125 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
126 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
127 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
128 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
129 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
130 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
131 CHEN Jayden 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
132 KIM Teo 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
132 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
134 QIAN Irvine 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
134 CLAES Thomas 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
136 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
136 JOHNSON Soren 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
138 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
139 KUANG Bryan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
140 XI Benjamin 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
141 TAI Edison 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
142 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
143 AYOTTE James 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
144 CHOU Benson 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
145 WU Eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
146 HELMY Richard 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
147 LEE Damien 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
148 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
149 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
150 HERNANDEZ SANTIAGO 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
151 LIU Josh 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
152 FRANGER Max 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
152 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 92% 50% 13% 2% - -
154 FENG Shang 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
155 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
156 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
156 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
158 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
159 HSU Joshua 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
160 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 42% 6% < 1% - - -
161 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
162 CHENG Trevor 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
163 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
164 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
165 PARK Sangwook 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
166 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
167 REAGAN Henry 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
168 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
169 MANGAN Hunter 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
170 DAN Rex 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
171 LI Tristan 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
172 SHEN Jiayi 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
173 KE Sebastian 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
173 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
175 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
175 CHEN Bowen 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
177 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% -
178 ZHAO Pierce 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
179 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
180 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
181 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
182 WANG Devin 100% 87% 47% 12% 2% - -
183 RONG Gordon 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
184 GOROZA Eric 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
185 CHEN Leetyan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
185 LEE Royce 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
185 CORDOVA Colin 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 3% -
188 SUN Ethan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
189 CHHU Allen 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
189 BAXTER Max 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
191 WELLING Cohen 100% 81% 29% 5% - - -
192 LEUNG Dylan 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
192 ZHOU Austin 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
194 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
195 NAM Nathaniel 100% 65% 18% 3% - - -
196 BYRON Max 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
196 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
198 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
199 ANDERSON-SONG Jude 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
200 REID Wesley 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
201 RAO Neil 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
201 WU Johnny y. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
203 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
204 SIEDOW William 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
205 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
206 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 3% -
207 YANG Gary 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
207 SHILOV Maxim 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
209 KIM Alexander 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
210 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
211 SINGLETON Aman 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
212 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
213 GUO Woody 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
214 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
215 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
216 LI Ray 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
217 DOAN Christopher 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
218 KIM Remington 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
219 LAU Alex 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
219 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
221 HERDMAN Julian 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
222 KIM Henry 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
222 SUN Neo 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
224 DILLON Anik 100% 92% 45% 11% 1% - -
225 FU Adrian 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
226 YANG Kayden 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
227 ABAD Mateo 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
228 MA Ciel 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
229 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
230 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
231 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
232 WU Chi Kuan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
233 NAIR Sujit 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
234 ZHAO Colin 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
235 RUSSELL Michael 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
235 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 26% 2% - - - -
237 DESROSIERS Matthew 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
238 BLACK Zachary 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
238 LAWRENCE Brady 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
240 ZEPHURINE Josiah 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
241 PARRISH Edison 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
242 TESFAYE Elias 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
243 CZACHOROWSKI Mark 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
244 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
245 GREENMAN Duke 100% 32% 4% - - - -
246 LI Timothy 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
247 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
247 FENG Xinmin 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.