BladeRunner ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
2 CALDERON Diego - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
3 IYOKI Kent - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
3 SINGHA Orion - - 3% 19% 42% 30% 7%
5 YAO Geoffrey B. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
6 KHANNA Nikhil - 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 4%
7 HIGGINS Branford - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
8 LIN Kyran - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
9 WRIGHT Christopher - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
10 JOHNSTON Conner S. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
11 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 8% 32% 46% 13%
11 LO Jake - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 2%
13 RONA Milan - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
14 TAYLOR Daryl J. - - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
15 GAO Chaney C. - 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
16 CHEN Bailey 3% 31% 45% 18% 3% - -
17 GRABER Andrew J. - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
18 RONG Yao - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
19 KIM Nathan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
20 KIM Benjamin I. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9%
21 GAINES Aaron - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
22 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
23 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
24 JU Hanul 3% 26% 44% 22% 4% - -
25 KIM Sullivan - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
26 LIU Yikun 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
27 FU Leon 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 WICKBOLDT Eric 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
29 MIAO Kunqi 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
30 MCDANIELS Jeremy - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
31 SHARMA Sanil - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
32 DU Shunyu K. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
33 ZHENG Haoran - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
34 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
35 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
36 WANG Owen 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
37 YU Austin 7% 29% 39% 20% 5% - -
38 WILLIAMS Terrill D. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
39 PRAKASH Hari 17% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
40 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
41 DIECK Logan O. - 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
42 KNUDSEN Travis 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
43 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 4% 35% 43% 15% 2% - -
44 MING Nathan 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
45 DAO Alexander 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
45 MA Victor 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
47 KIM Ian 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
48 CLAWSON Brian C. 2% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
49 LIPTON Jason S. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
49 MENDOZA Zachari 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
51 SINHA Zaan 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
52 JENSEN David - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
53 EVERS Gabriel - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10% 1%
54 KURITZ Marc M. - 5% 25% 42% 22% 5% -
55 GETSLA Christopher W. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
55 CHIEN Brandon - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
57 MENDOZA Zandro 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% - -
58 DRAGONETTI Walter E. - - < 1% 5% 26% 46% 23%
59 WONG Daniel - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
60 RUBIN Max 7% 24% 34% 24% 10% 2% -
61 CROSSMAN Brandon 8% 35% 39% 16% 2% - -
62 EMMERT JP 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
63 DOWDELL Riley 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
64 BAILEY Creston P. 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3% -
65 LEE Bryson 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
66 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
67 GALLO James - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
68 KIM Taeho 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
69 LIU Noah 7% 38% 40% 14% 2% - -
70 SHEN Jiayi 62% 32% 5% - - - -
71 UVAROV Andrii 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
72 ZAROTSKY Ronald 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
73 MARSH Timothy G. - 1% 7% 29% 41% 19% 3%
74 YANG Jerry M. 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
75 CHOI San 12% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
76 CHIEN Zachary M. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
77 TANG William 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
78 SCHROEDER Dylan 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
79 GU Aidan 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
80 LOMIO Nicholas A. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
81 GENCHEV Madav 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
82 LI Zerong 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
83 HILLSTROM Nathan 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
84 HEWITT Frank F. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
85 FERRIERE Thomas 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
85 YI David 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
87 PAINTER Noah 74% 23% 3% - - - -
88 WHITE Chance 78% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.