BladeRunner ROC / RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
2 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
3 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 7%
5 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
6 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
7 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
8 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
9 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
10 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
11 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
11 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
13 RONA Milan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
14 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
15 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
16 CHEN Bailey 100% 97% 66% 21% 3% - -
17 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
18 RONG Yao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
19 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
20 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
21 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
22 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
23 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
24 JU Hanul 100% 97% 70% 26% 4% - -
25 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
26 LIU Yikun 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
27 FU Leon 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
28 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
29 MIAO Kunqi 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
30 MCDANIELS Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
31 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
32 DU Shunyu K. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
33 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 6%
34 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
35 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
36 WANG Owen 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
37 YU Austin 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% - -
38 WILLIAMS Terrill D. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
39 PRAKASH Hari 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
40 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
41 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 1%
42 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
43 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 96% 61% 18% 2% - -
44 MING Nathan 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
45 DAO Alexander 100% 97% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
45 MA Victor 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
47 KIM Ian 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
48 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 98% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
49 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
49 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
51 SINHA Zaan 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
52 JENSEN David 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
53 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
54 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 5% -
55 GETSLA Christopher W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
55 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
57 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% 1% -
58 DRAGONETTI Walter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
59 WONG Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
60 RUBIN Max 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
61 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 92% 57% 18% 3% - -
62 EMMERT JP 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
63 DOWDELL Riley 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
64 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
65 LEE Bryson 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
66 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
67 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
68 KIM Taeho 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
69 LIU Noah 100% 93% 56% 16% 2% - -
70 SHEN Jiayi 100% 38% 6% - - - -
71 UVAROV Andrii 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
72 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
73 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
74 YANG Jerry M. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
75 CHOI San 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
76 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
77 TANG William 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
78 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
79 GU Aidan 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
80 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
81 GENCHEV Madav 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
82 LI Zerong 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
83 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
84 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
85 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
85 YI David 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
87 PAINTER Noah 100% 26% 3% - - - -
88 WHITE Chance 100% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.