AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 8, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
2 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 ANDERSON Kai 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% - -
3 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
5 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
6 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
8 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
9 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
10 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
11 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
12 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
13 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
14 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
15 NG Biwon 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1% -
16 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
17 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
18 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
19 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
20 TONG Samuel 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
21 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
22 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
23 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 15%
24 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 5%
25 JU Hanul 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
26 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
27 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
28 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
29 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
29 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
31 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
32 SHEN Jiayi 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
33 WONG KEVIN 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
34 LEE Bryson 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
35 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
36 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
37 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
38 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
39 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
40 KUO Rylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
41 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 17%
42 LI zerong 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
43 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
44 YUEN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
45 SARKAR agniv 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
46 TAI Edison 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
47 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
48 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
49 MING Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 8%
50 GU Aidan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
51 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
52 GENCHEV Madav 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
53 ZHUANG William 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
54 CHANG Andrew 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
55 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
56 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
57 WONG Baron 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
58 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
59 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
60 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
61 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
62 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
63 MILEY Walker 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
64 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
65 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
66 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
67 HARGROVE Kai 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
68 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
69 LEE Damien 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
70 SIM Ian 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
71 LI Ethan R. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
72 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% - -
73 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
74 CHENG Trevor 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
74 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
76 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
77 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
77 CLAES Lucas 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
79 RUBIN Max 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
80 WANG aaron 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
81 PRAKASH Hari 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
82 WONG Preston 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
83 LAURSEN Logan 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
84 HSU Joshua 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
85 YAN Eric 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
86 KIM Alexander 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
86 WU Johnny y. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
88 AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
89 HOLLAND Thomas 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
89 ZHAO Colin 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
91 KIM Remington 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
92 PAINTER Noah 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
92 WACHS Bryce 100% 36% 6% - - - -
94 ORMOND Andrew 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
95 RISTOW Carsten 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
96 GUO Woody 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
97 LEE Royce 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
98 NGUYEN Grayson 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
99 WU Eric 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
100 BHARGAV Angad 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
100 FAN Joshua 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
102 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
103 CHANG Kristopher 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.