Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
2 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 19%
3 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
5 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
6 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 26%
7 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
8 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
9 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
9 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
11 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
13 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 83% 36% 6%
14 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 YANG Luao 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
16 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
17 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
18 GEOGHEGAN Ronan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 2%
19 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 23%
20 GAO William 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1% -
21 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
22 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
23 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
24 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
25 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
26 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
27 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
28 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
29 LOVE Aaron 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
30 LI Matthew 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
31 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 18%
32 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% - -
33 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
34 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
35 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
36 GUO Sean 100% 99% 89% 53% 14% 1%
37 PO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
38 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 9%
39 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
40 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
41 SAGE Michael J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
42 SCHREIBER Samuel S. 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
43 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5% -
44 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
45 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
46 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 6%
47 LONG Connor M. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
48 LEE Jacob J 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
49 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
50 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
51 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
51 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
53 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
54 DRESSEL Jet 100% 74% 24% 3% - -
55 QIU Daniel 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
56 TANG August L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
56 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
58 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
59 GUO Justin 100% 92% 57% 20% 4% - -
60 LIU Eric Y. 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
61 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
62 SLOUGH Sean 100% 77% 32% 6% - - -
63 JI Aidan Y. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
64 ROSE Ben 100% 85% 21% 2% - - -
65 WONG Ethan 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
66 LI Jinghua E. 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
67 METTAPALLI Tarun 100% 96% 53% 10% 1% -
68 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
69 KNIZHNIK David 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
70 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 97% 63% 16% 1% -
71 WANG Winston 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
72 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 18% 1% - - -
73 STONE Adam 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% - -
74 TORRES Treston 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
75 TANG Albert 100% 100% 93% 54% 16% 2% -
76 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
76 BERNABE Rafael 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
78 HUANG Eythan 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
79 RILEY Colin T. 100% 25% 1% - - - -
80 HUGHES Evan J. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
81 SONG Austin 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
81 CLICK Aiden 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
83 LIN Michael 100% 98% 83% 40% 7% -
84 ROBBINS Tusker F. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
85 SHIPMAN Andrew 100% 2% - - - - -
85 KAN Edward 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.