Junior Olympics & Div 1 NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, February 14, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte Convention Center - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 LOUIE Bryce - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 EMMER Chase T. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
5 BOURTIS James S. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
6 HUTH Mitchell - - - - - 1% 3% 11% 24% 31% 22% 7% 1%
7 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - - 1% 3% 11% 24% 31% 23% 7% 1%
8 ZHANG Daniel D. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
10 KUMBLA Samarth - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
11 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - - 4% 29% 67%
12 KIM Yonjae - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 26% 27% 17% 6% 1%
13 CHEN Allen - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
14 JEON Caleb A. - - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 29% 27% 12% 2%
15 ONIK Elijah T. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
16 HOOSHI Jayden C. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
17 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
18 KAO Castor T. - - - - - - 1% 3% 12% 25% 32% 21% 5%
19 MATSAKH Philip - - - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% -
20 ROSE Ben - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 20% 10% 3% 1% -
21 LO Conrad - - - - - - 2% 9% 21% 30% 25% 11% 2%
22 YANG Luao - - - - - 2% 6% 17% 27% 28% 16% 4%
23 SENIC Lucas - - - - 2% 6% 16% 25% 27% 17% 6% 1% -
24 STANLEY Mason B. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
25 CANLAS Nathan - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
26 BANERJEE ANUP 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
27 BURKE Spencer W. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
28 QIAN Jason H. - - - 1% 6% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
29 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 28% 21% 9% 2%
30 LEE Aidan - - - - 1% 4% 14% 27% 29% 18% 5% 1%
31 CO Dylan - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1% -
32 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 10% 3% 1% - - -
33 LU Yikai - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 28% 22% 10% 3% < 1% -
34 KUCEBA Vitalijs - - - - - - - 1% 4% 18% 40% 36%
35 OURSLER Jack - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
36 WYMAN Julian - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - -
37 LEWIS Akhil - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
38 LI Richard Y. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
39 RUSADZE Nickolas - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
40 SEZER Kaya - - - 1% 6% 16% 27% 27% 16% 5% 1% -
41 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
42 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
43 MARTIN Darius - 4% 15% 27% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - - - -
44 CHEN Ziyuan - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 6%
45 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% -
46 KWON Ethan - - - - - 2% 6% 16% 27% 28% 16% 5% -
47 GRIFFITH JACK - - - - - 2% 9% 20% 29% 25% 11% 2%
48 CULLIVAN Justice - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
49 CHIN Julian S. - - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
50 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 3% 1% -
51 LEWIS Paul D. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 1%
52 GOOR Julian - - - - - - 3% 10% 22% 30% 24% 10% 1%
52 LIN Michael - - - - - 3% 9% 20% 29% 24% 12% 3% -
54 SISINNI Riccardo - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% -
55 ZHENG Alan H. - - - - 2% 8% 19% 28% 24% 13% 4% 1% -
56 LO Preston - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
57 TIYA BIAYA K. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
58 LI Bradley - - 2% 10% 22% 29% 22% 11% 3% 1% - -
59 BAS Liam - - 1% 8% 32% 48% 11%
60 CHEN Raymond - - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 29% 28% 14% 2%
61 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
62 LI Matthew 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
63 HUTH Jacob - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
64 ZHANG Aaron - - 4% 13% 25% 28% 19% 8% 2% - - - -
65 TSIMIKLIS Yanni - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 3% 1% - -
66 WU Alexander - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
67 SIU Aiden - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
68 LING Eddie - - - 2% 9% 20% 28% 24% 12% 4% 1% -
69 LIN James G. - - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% - -
70 DIERKS Kian - - - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% -
71 BRUK Peter J. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
72 PO Oliver - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
73 TANG Alexander L. 1% 5% 16% 27% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - - - -
74 KNIZHNIK David - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 28% 19% 7% 1%
75 YANG Andy H. - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 28% 21% 9% 2% -
76 CANCHEZ Federico - - 1% 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 3% - -
77 LEE Brendan - 1% 6% 17% 27% 26% 15% 6% 1% - - -
78 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 3% 11% 22% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - -
79 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 14% 5% 1% -
80 TANG August L. - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 19% 8% 2% - - - -
81 PARRISH Evan - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% - - - -
82 SONG Aiden S. - - 2% 7% 18% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
83 WANDJI Noah - 5% 16% 28% 27% 16% 6% 1% - - - - -
83 HAN Changhee - 1% 4% 15% 28% 28% 17% 6% 1% - - - -
85 VAZQUEZ Zander - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1% -
85 LEE Jacob J - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
87 CHEN Matthew - 1% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
88 KRYLTSOV Michael 2% 11% 26% 30% 20% 9% 2% - - - - -
89 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran - - 2% 8% 19% 26% 24% 14% 5% 1% - - -
90 JIANG Owen - - - 2% 8% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% - -
91 GAO Payton 2% 12% 24% 28% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - - -
92 BADLANI Dev - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - -
93 AHN Jun - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 4% 1% - -
94 TAN Aidan - 1% 7% 18% 27% 25% 15% 5% 1% - - - -
95 WANG Winston - 4% 13% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
96 DONG Richard - - 3% 10% 22% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - -
97 HAY Gavin - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
98 NUNNINK Phillip W. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
99 KIM Daniel Y. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
100 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
101 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 5% -
102 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
103 CHENG Ethan 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
104 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
105 WU Alber Y. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
106 SONG Noel 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
107 LIN Youlong - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
108 PALMA Nathan Anthony 7% 33% 41% 17% 3% -
109 LI Eric - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
110 TANG Owen S. - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
111 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
112 SIMONOV Timofey 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
113 BAE Kevin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
114 GUTH Joseph 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
115 EMENHEISER Conrad 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
115 LEE Eugene 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
117 WOO Christian - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
118 NICOLETTI Luca - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 4%
119 KIM Harrison 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
120 RAJ Jay 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
121 ZHANG Jacob 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
122 KONG Luculentus X. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
123 LIU Derek 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
124 ZOBEL Eric H. - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
125 DOELL Ethan 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
126 LU Royce - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
127 RASMUSSEN Sage - 4% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
128 ROZALSKI Eli 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
129 KIM Jackson 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
130 GONG Benjamin 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
131 GHEDINI Luca 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
131 YAO Bradley 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
133 HE Patrick - 1% 6% 22% 40% 27% 5%
134 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 2%
135 HUANG Eythan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
136 SMITH Grant D. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
137 DERRICK Blake - 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3%
138 DINSAY Kristjan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
139 LIPPMAN Sam 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
140 AKYAMAC Bora 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
141 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 3% 12% 27% 34% 20% 4%
142 SHAPIRO Leon 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
143 XU Andy P. 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
144 ZHAI Jeffrey - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
145 GONZALEZ Matthew 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
146 UZGIRIS Kovas 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
147 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
148 TANG Albert - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
149 WANG Aaron 1% 9% 32% 40% 16% 1%
150 YUE Jackson 31% 43% 22% 5% - -
151 WILLIAMS Connor J. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
152 BLACK Zachary 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
153 RAUTUREAU Hugo 6% 32% 41% 18% 3% -
154 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
155 PAN Henry 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
156 LIU Ethan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
157 DESANDO Michael R. - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
158 CHUANG Oscar 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
159 MIALL Steven A. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
160 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
161 CRALEY Thomas M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
161 LEE Jonah 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
163 GRIFFIN John O. - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
164 LI Toby Muhua Li 3% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
165 MYERS Dean - 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
166 BAILEY William F. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
167 LYNCH Owen C. 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
168 MORROW Brenden 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
169 YAP Nathan 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
170 QIU Zhaocheng 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
171 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
172 CHO Jadon Yushin 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
173 PARK Sky 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
173 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 6% 27% 41% 21% 5% - -
175 FINLEY Dylan 2% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
176 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
177 ANDRIC Borna 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
178 JURMAN Therin 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
179 GONZALEZ Oliver 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
180 LI Aaron - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
181 SONG Austin - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
182 RAUTUREAU Arthur 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
183 EDISON Ansel 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
184 WENDLER Alexander J. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
184 WONG Garrick G. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
186 KIM Brian 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
187 WANG Rory 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
188 LI Jett 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
189 JIANG Bowang 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
190 TSAY Jordan R. 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
191 YOON Junhyeok 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
192 GUO Justin 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
193 BAI Brian 8% 34% 40% 16% 3% -
194 LEE Christopher T. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
195 HOWLAND Jonas 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
196 FENG Michael 2% 16% 36% 34% 12% 1%
197 CHALUT Etienne 1% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1%
198 LI Samuel 4% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
199 JAUME Andrei 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
200 VIVEROS Evan 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
201 VANOYEN Dominick 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
202 KIM Aiden 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
203 BARRETT Austin 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
204 MILLER Jordan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
205 EDWARDS Maxon 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
206 YANG Dylan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
206 KIM Teo 48% 39% 11% 2% - - -
206 SMOLICH Marat 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
209 LI Ayren 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
210 TALASILA Arush 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
211 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
212 FINNEY Lorenz 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
213 ZHONG Maxwell 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
214 HAMILTON Brock B. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
214 ABRAMKIN Tim 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
216 WANG Ethan 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
217 MILLER Dillon 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
218 KAPOOR Aayan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
219 BERSCHEID Arthur 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
220 SISINNI Leonardo 78% 20% 2% - - -
221 ORLOV Dmitriy 8% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
222 QUINONES Diego A. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
223 MAO Lucas 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
223 TAN Xinlai 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
225 PECK Quinn 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
226 DAFFRON Quintin 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
227 STRUGAR Marcus A. < 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
228 POLONI Giovanni 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
229 CHO Xzander 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
229 CHOI Ethan 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
229 CLARK Benjamin 20% 44% 29% 7% 1% - -
229 ZHANG GAVIN J 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
233 SPRINGFIELD Landon A. 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
233 PINKERTON Joseph H. 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
233 RIPA Joseph K. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.